Bitcoin dips to a low of $65,600 as weekend volatility creeps in (2024)

  • Bitcoin price dropped below the $70,000 threshold, bottoming out at $65,600 on Friday.
  • El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele says a big chunk of the country’s BTC holdings have been moved to a cold wallet.
  • MicroStrategy has announced pricing for its convertible senior notes, users decry unfriendly terms relative to MSTR.

Bitcoin (BTC) price plummeted during the early hours of the New York session, recording an intra-day low of $65,600. The effects of the crash spread across the market with most altcoins flashing red.

Bitcoin, altcoins, stablecoins FAQs

Bitcoin is the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, a virtual currency designed to serve as money. This form of payment cannot be controlled by any one person, group, or entity, which eliminates the need for third-party participation during financial transactions.

Altcoins are any cryptocurrency apart from Bitcoin, but some also regard Ethereum as a non-altcoin because it is from these two cryptocurrencies that forking happens. If this is true, then Litecoin is the first altcoin, forked from the Bitcoin protocol and, therefore, an “improved” version of it.

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to have a stable price, with their value backed by a reserve of the asset it represents. To achieve this, the value of any one stablecoin is pegged to a commodity or financial instrument, such as the US Dollar (USD), with its supply regulated by an algorithm or demand. The main goal of stablecoins is to provide an on/off-ramp for investors willing to trade and invest in cryptocurrencies. Stablecoins also allow investors to store value since cryptocurrencies, in general, are subject to volatility.

Bitcoin dominance is the ratio of Bitcoin's market capitalization to the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies combined. It provides a clear picture of Bitcoin’s interest among investors. A high BTC dominance typically happens before and during a bull run, in which investors resort to investing in relatively stable and high market capitalization cryptocurrency like Bitcoin. A drop in BTC dominance usually means that investors are moving their capital and/or profits to altcoins in a quest for higher returns, which usually triggers an explosion of altcoin rallies.

Also Read: Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Can BTC hit $100,000 without a correction?

Bitcoin provokes market crash after MicroStrategy, El Salvador news

Bitcoin (BTC) price has recorded an intraday low of $65,600 on Friday, and despite recovery efforts, it is likely to close the week in the red.

It comes after reports by Nayib Bukele, the second-term president of El Salvador, that the country has moved a big chunk of its BTC portfolio to cold wallet storage to be stored in a physical vault within the country.

We've decided to transfer a big chunk of our #Bitcoin to a cold wallet, and store that cold wallet in a physical vault within our national territory.

You can call it our first #Bitcoin piggy bank

It's not much, but it's honest work pic.twitter.com/dqzedykxT1

— Nayib Bukele (@nayibbukele) March 14, 2024

Referring to it as the country’s first “piggy bank”, the move is bullish as it communicates intention to hodl. For the layperson, when holders move their assets to exchanges, it normally suggests they plan to sell, influencing bearish pressure.

El Salvador’s preference for cold storage depicts:

  • Plans for long-term holding,
  • Pursuit for the added layer of protection against potential security breaches on online platforms
  • A long-term investment strategy as opposed to short-term trading
  • Confidence in the long-term value of the assets, aligning with a bullish sentiment
  • Responsible management as well as commitment to safeguard the country’s wealth

Notably, while this move may not directly influence the current market trend, it suggests a bullish sentiment toward BTC.

Elsewhere, MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor has reported that the firm has announced the pricing of a further offering of convertible senior notes.

MicroStrategy Announces Pricing of Offering of Convertible Senior Notes $MSTR https://t.co/sArDcspn26

— Michael Saylor⚡️ (@saylor) March 15, 2024

Key takeaways from the pricing model are that:

  • The offering was upsized from the previously announced offering of $500 million to $525 million.
  • Notes will bear interest at a rate of 0.875% per annum.
  • The conversion rate for the notes will initially be 0.4297 shares of MicroStrategy class A common stock per $1,000 principal amount of notes. This is equivalent to an initial conversion price of approximately $2,327.21 per share.
  • Estimated net proceeds from the sale of the notes will be approximately $515 million.
  • Net proceeds from the sale of the notes will be used to acquire additional Bitcoin and for general corporate purposes.

One community member has decried the offering, saying, “Impossible for me to get a loan on those terms,” adding that MicroStrategy’s (MSTR) stock was a better alternative.

Notably, the report from Saylor has not impacted the market, suggesting that it was already priced in on March 5, when the senior notes offering proposal was first made public.

Bitcoin price outlook as BTC closes week in red

Bitcoin price remains within the ascending parallel channel, sustaining above the midline of the technical formation. While the bullish outlook is still intact, it is threatened as Bitcoin price slipped below the $70,000 threshold.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is nose-diving pointing to falling momentum, accentuated by the red histogram bars of the Awesome Oscillator (AO). If the bears have their way, Bitcoin price could extend the fall past the $65,000 milestone, or in a dire case, tag the $60,000 psychological level.

The maximum pain scenario would entail Bitcoin price sliding lower and dipping into the weekly imbalance stretching between $53,120 and $59,111 before a possible leg north.

BTC/USDT 1-day chart

However, if BTC die-hards look at the dip as a buying opportunity and buy the correction, the ensuing buying pressure could propel Bitcoin price north, potentially seeing it reclaim above $70,000.

Enhanced buyer momentum beyond the psychological level could see BTC reclaim the $73,777 peak, or in a highly bullish case, extend a neck higher to tag the $80,000 milestone. Such a move would denote an 18% move above current levels.

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Bitcoin dips to a low of $65,600 as weekend volatility creeps in (2024)

FAQs

Bitcoin dips to a low of $65,600 as weekend volatility creeps in? ›

Bitcoin price dips to a low of $65,600 as weekend volatility creeps in. Bitcoin price dropped below the $70,000 threshold, bottoming out at $65,600 on Friday. El Salvador's President Nayib Bukele says a big chunk of the country's BTC holdings have been moved to a cold wallet.

Why is the price of Bitcoin so volatile? ›

The price of Bitcoin is influenced by a multifaceted array of factors, making its market dynamics both intriguing and complex for investors. Supply and demand dynamics are at the forefront of these factors, with the cryptocurrency's predetermined supply limit of 21 million coins catalyzing price fluctuations.

What is the Bitcoin volatility index? ›

The Bitcoin Volatility Index. The Bitcoin volatility index measures how much Bitcoin's price fluctuates on a specific day, relative to its price. See the historical and average volatility of Bitcoin below.

Why is BTC falling? ›

The price of bitcoin (BTC) fell sharply in the U.S. morning hours Friday, reversing a move that had seen the world's largest crypto climb as high as $63,500. As good of an excuse as any for catalysts were disappointing U.S. economic data and hawkish remarks from Dallas Fed President Lori Logan.

Is Bitcoin cyclically volatile? ›

Bitcoin (BTC) has long been viewed as a highly volatile asset, but its volatility is falling and will continue to do so as the cryptocurrency matures, Fidelity Digital Assets said in a research report on Wednesday.

Will Bitcoin ever stop being volatile? ›

Since 2020, the volatility cycle of Bitcoin has been extended. In conclusion, the price of Bitcoin has no obvious trend towards being less volatile, except for showing a slightly longer volatility period. It probably takes longer for Bitcoin to achieve long-term low volatility.

Is volatility good for Bitcoin? ›

Bitcoin, since its inception, has been synonymous with volatility. Its prices can swing wildly over short periods, drawing in traders and investors attracted by the potential for significant returns but also exposing them to substantial risk.

What is the most volatile hour for Bitcoin? ›

According to data from on-chain data provider Skew, 3 - 4 PM UTC is when cryptocurrency trading is most intense.

What is the average daily volatility of Bitcoin? ›

As revealed in the Digital Economy Compass 2022, despite its own rollercoaster ride, the largest currency was also the most stable of those analyzed in 2021. Bitcoin's annualized volatility rate was 81 percent, while investors could expect on average a 4 percent change on a daily basis.

How to check BTC volatility? ›

Bitcoin's daily volatility = Bitcoin's standard deviation = √(∑(Bitcoin's opening price – Price at N)^2 /N). For example, the annualized volatility for Bitcoin would be √365 * Bitcoin's daily volatility. The monthly volatility would be √31 * Bitcoin's daily volatility and so on.

Why is the cryptocurrency market down today? ›

The crypto market is experiencing a decline, with falling trading volume, dropping market cap, and a shift away from optimism. Regulatory concerns, decreasing Bitcoin investment, and overall market stagnation are blamed for the decline.

Why will BTC go up? ›

Because bitcoin is a speculative asset, positive sentiment around it has the tendency to multiply. If people believe that the halving will increase bitcoin's price, then they may buy more of it, which can actually lead to a price surge: self-reinforcing dynamics in which belief manifests into reality.

Why is BTC rising now? ›

Why has it risen in price this time? A major factor in bitcoin's rise since the start of the year has been the approval by the US financial regulator in January of exchange-traded funds [ETFs] – a basket of assets that can be bought and sold like shares on an exchange – that track the price of bitcoin.

Is Bitcoin volatile on weekends? ›

Bitcoin prices are as volatile on the weekend as during regular trading hours, but there is much less volume. Trading Bitcoin is always risky, but weekend trading adds more risk. If you can tolerate the risk and stick to your strategy, you could still trade profitably on weekends.

Is Bitcoin less volatile on weekends? ›

Bitcoin market exhibits noticeably higher trading volume and volatility during hours that coincide with the daytime trading hours of US and European stock exchanges. Both the trading volume and volatility on weekdays are substantially higher than those on weekends.

What's driving Bitcoin up? ›

The catalyst behind this surge is the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs. These instruments allow investors to buy into Bitcoin without the complexities of direct crypto ownership, with each ETF share backed by real Bitcoin.

What drives the price of Bitcoin? ›

What Drives the Price of Bitcoin? Bitcoin's price is primarily driven by supply, demand, fear, and greed. Some people argue that its price is correlated to its cost of production, its utility as a store of value, or its intrinsic value—but if these were true, it would not be as volatile and reactive as it is.

Why is Bitcoin surging in price? ›

Specifically, bitcoin has moved like a speculative asset: a high-risk class of investments that draw interest for their potential to greatly increase, as opposed to their underlying utility. When interest rates shrank during the pandemic, allowing people to borrow and invest money more easily, bitcoin boomed.

Why is Bitcoin more volatile than ethereum? ›

The spread between bitcoin and ether's annualized 30-day historical volatility gauges increased to the highest in at least a year, according to data tracked by Kaiko. The spot ETF inflows and Bitcoin blockchain's impending halving seem to have catalyzed greater volatility in BTC.

Is Bitcoin more volatile than gold? ›

Regarding market price, Bitcoin has been much higher than gold for some time but is much more volatile. Gold has more use cases, while Bitcoin is limited to financial instruments and services only. Whether Bitcoin will replace gold is a subjective argument.

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