Bitcoin's computational power may double and make the market more secure in 2022 (2024)

Hello again! Welcome to Distributed Ledger, our weekly crypto newsletter. This will be the last installment of 2021, as the New Year is less than two days away. I’m Frances Yue, crypto reporter at MarketWatch. Today I’ll walk you through how the past year has been for bitcoin miners, and what they expect for 2022. Find me on Twitter at @FrancesYue_ to send feedback or chat about crypto.

Crypto in a snap

Major cryptocurrencies have deepened loss during the past week. Bitcoin BTCUSD, +3.57% traded 5.8% lower from seven days ago at around $47,687. Ether ETHUSD, +0.81% posted a 8.9% loss during the past seven days, recently trading at around $3,747. Meme token Dogecoin DOGEUSD, +5.45% declined 4.3% over the past seven sessions. Another dog-themed token Shiba Inu SHIBUSD, 14.80 was down 9.9% from seven days ago.

Crypto Metrics

Biggest Gainers Price % 7-day return
Oasis Network $0.42 44.7%
SushiSwap $9.44 39%
Gnosis $533.6 23.3%
Fantom $2.18 23.1%
Algorand $1.69 21.7%
Source: CoinMarketCap.com as of Dec. 30
Biggest Decliners Price % 7-day return
XRP $0.8 -13.4%
Avalanche $104.3 -13.1%
Waves $14.6 -11.7%
1inch Network $2.5 -10.8%
yearn.finance $29,021 -10.4%
Source: CoinMarketCap.com as of Dec.30

Growth and challenges

In 2021, the crypto mining industry went from “a fringe movement, mostly full of hobbyists to a now very professionalized and institutional industry,” Charlie Schumacher, director of corporate communications at Nasdaq-listed bitcoin mining company Marathon Digital Holdings MARA, +4.25% told Distributed Ledger in an interview.

“If you look back at what bitcoin mining looked like a year ago, there were only a handful of companies that were publicly traded involved in the space,” Schumacher said. “And if you look at everyone’s market cap at that time, they’re far below what they are today.”Marathon Digital’s market capitalization rose to more than $3.5 billion from roughly $856 million at the start of the year.

However, the past year has also posted great challenges for some miners. Chicago-headquartered bitcoin miner Blockware Mining, for example, has seen delays in delivery of some equipment due to global supply chain disruptions during the pandemic. “Issues with shipping coming out of Malaysia and other places in the Far East have been extremely difficult,” Michael Stolzner, CEO of Blockware Mining, said in an interview.

“Also with building out the mining facility, we’ve had to deal with supply chain issues, from switchgear to transformers to other things,” Stolzner said.

The industry was also plagued by the China ban. After China started cracking down on crypto mining in May, Bitcoin’s hashrate, which measures the total computational power contributed to the blockchain network, fell more than 50% to about 85 EH/s on a seven-day average basis in July, according to data from Blockchain.com.A lower hashrate means the Bitcoin network is less secure and more vulnerable to attacks.

Bitcoin’s hashrate has fully recovered since then, reaching a record high of 182 EH/s in early December, as some Chinese miners migrated to other places such as the United States, Canada, and Kazakhstan, while other miners expanded their capacity.

Some industry participants said that China’s crackdown benefited some North American miners. As Chinese miners went offline in May and June, “the mining difficulty went down drastically. So the rewards of being a miner and being online were multiplied,” according to Blockware’s Stolzner.

Whit Gibbs, CEO of Compass Mining, a crypto mining marketplace, said that after the China ban, the company saw “a tremendous spike” in the amount of interest for people who want it to mine Bitcoin at data centers in the United States. “It was about a 300% month-over-month growth for Compass between June and July. So pretty significant,” Gibbs said.

Mining 2022

As the industry sees increasing institutional participation, Marathon Digital’s Schumacher anticipates bitcoin’s hashrate will double by the end of 2022.

“That obviously means the Bitcoin network is more secure, but then for us, it also means that it’s a more competitive environment,” Schumacher said.

Compass Mining’s Gibbs expects bitcoin mining, which has long been criticized for its high energy-costs, will be increasingly environmentally friendly in 2022.

In 2022, a higher percentage of bitcoin mining will be powered by renewable energies, according to Gibbs. “Because you know, renewable power is plentiful and cheap. And those are the two most important criteria when a bitcoin miner is looking at a power source.”

Crypto companies, funds

In crypto-related company trading, shares of Coinbase Global Inc. COIN, +1.09% traded up 2.1% to $258 early afternoon on Thursday. It lost 3.8% for the past five trading sessions. Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy Inc. MSTR, +5.53% traded 2.9% higher on Thursday to $572.24, and was 4.2% lower over the past five days.

Mining company Riot Blockchain Inc. RIOT, +2.27% sharesgained 3% to $23.65, while it recorded a 8% loss over the past five days. Shares of Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. traded up 1.5% to $34, while it was down 9.7% over the past five days. Another miner Ebang International Holdings Inc. EBON, +4.26% advanced 3% to $0.98, with a 18% loss over the past five days.

Overstock.com Inc. OSTK traded up 3.2% to $61.66. The shares went down 1.9% over the five-session period.

Block Inc’s SQ, -0.28% sharesrose 3.6% to $167.6, trading flat for the week. Tesla Inc.’s TSLA, +0.38% sharesinched up 0.3% to $1,089.78, contributing to an 2.1% gain for the week.

PayPal Holdings Inc. PYPL, +0.33% traded 1.7% higher to $193.38, while it recorded a 0.7% gain over the five-session stretch. NVIDIA Corp. NVDA, +4.00% inched up 0.6% to $301.75, and was looking at a 1.8% advance over the past five days.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. AMD, +5.25% inched down 0.3% to $147.9 while it logged a 1.2% gain over the past five trading days, as of Thursday afternoon.

In the fund space, ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF BITO, +1.74% was 0.6% higher to $30.05 Thursday, while Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy ETF BTF, +1.63% was up 0.5% to $18.57. VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF XBTF inched up 0.1% to $46.87.

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust GBTC was trading at $35.74, up 1% Thursday morning.

Must Reads

Bitcoin's computational power may double and make the market more secure in 2022 (2024)

FAQs

What is the computational power of Bitcoin? ›

-“The Bitcoin network produces ~67 times more hashes per second than there are grains of sand on Earth.” -“In terms of raw operations per second, Bitcoin is ~500 times more powerful than the world's most powerful supercomputer.” In other words, Bitcoin is not based on nothing but on gigawatts of encrypted energy.

Why does Bitcoin require so much computing power? ›

Essentially, crypto tokens are generated by having a computer solve complicated puzzles. That requires a lot of computing power, generally done by specialized computers running calculations 24 hours a day.

During what year will Bitcoin circulating supply reach 22 million? ›

Newly issued (or mined) bitcoin is cut in half, reducing oncoming supply. At a point near the year 2140, the total supply of 21 million bitcoins will be mined, and no more new supply will become available to the market.

Is Bitcoin mining still profitable? ›

With the right setup, Bitcoin mining is profitable. However, there is no definitive way to know how much money you will make from Bitcoin mining. This is because there are many variables that can determine profitability. For a start, you'll need to purchase Bitcoin mining equipment – known as ASICs.

How much computer power is needed to mine Bitcoin? ›

The fact is that even the most efficient Bitcoin mining operation takes roughly 155,000 kWh to mine one Bitcoin.

How much electricity does it take to mine 1 Bitcoin? ›

How Much Electricity is Needed to Mine 1 Bitcoin? As a solo miner, an average of 266,000 kilowatt-hours (kWh) of electricity is required to mine a single BITCOIN (BTC). This process would take approximately seven years to complete, demanding a monthly electricity consumption of about 143 kWh.

Will Bitcoin be worth anything in 20 years? ›

Max Keiser predicts Bitcoin to be worth $200K in 2024. Fidelity predicts one Bitcoin will be worth $1B in 2038. Hal Finney predicted $22M per Bitcoin by 2045.

How much will Bitcoin be worth in the next 10 years? ›

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2030
YearPrice
2025$ 74,854.33
2026$ 78,597.05
2027$ 82,526.90
2030$ 95,535.21
1 more row

What happens to Bitcoin after all 21 million are mined? ›

After all 21 million bitcoin are mined, which is estimated to occur around the year 2140, the network will no longer produce new bitcoin. The block subsidy will go to zero but miners will continue to receive transaction fees, which will make up an ever greater portion of the block reward.

Can Bitcoin mining make you rich? ›

Bitcoin mining profitability is affected by equipment and electricity costs, the mining difficulty, and bitcoin's market value. After accounting for the costs of bitcoin mining, it can become profitable as long as the market cooperates.

How long does it take to mine 1 Bitcoin? ›

How long does it take to mine one Bitcoin? It takes around 10 minutes to mine just one Bitcoin, though this is with ideal hardware and software, which isn't always affordable and only a few users can boast the luxury of. More commonly and reasonably, most users can mine a Bitcoin in 30 days.

How much does it cost to mine 1 Bitcoin? ›

Mining a Bitcoin depends on your energy rate per Kwh, it costs $11,000K to mine a Bitcoin at 10 cents per Kwh and $5,170K to mine a Bitcoin at 4.7 cents per Kwh. Learn how and if mining right for you in June 2024! As Bitcoin's price goes up, so do the miners' prices.

What is the power of Bitcoin? ›

Bitcoin is powered by blockchain, which is the technology that powers many cryptocurrencies. A blockchain is a decentralized ledger of all the transactions across a network.

What is the current mining power of Bitcoin? ›

Basic Info. Bitcoin Network Hash Rate is at a current level of 562.08M, up from 515.94M yesterday and up from 399.03M one year ago. This is a change of 8.94% from yesterday and 40.86% from one year ago.

What technology powers Bitcoin? ›

Bitcoin's Blockchain Technology. The blockchain is a cutting-edge technology that powers the bitcoin protocol. All bitcoin transactions are securely and transparently recorded thanks to the distributed ledger system.

How much power does Bitcoin use in total? ›

The CBECI estimates that global electricity usage associated with Bitcoin mining ranged from 67 TWh to 240 TWh in 2023, with a point estimate of 120 TWh. The International Energy Agency estimated global consumption of electricity during 2023 to have been 27,400 TWh.

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