FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy 2023 | FDX | Macroaxis (2024)

FDXStockUSD247.361.110.45%

FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting FedEx Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the FedEx balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out FedEx Piotroski F Score and FedEx Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy FedEx Stock please use our How to Invest in FedEx guide.

FedEx

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Net Income Per Employee

Revenue Per Employee

Average Assets

Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA

Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD

Earnings before Tax

Average Equity

Enterprise Value

Free Cash Flow

Invested Capital

Invested Capital Average

Market Capitalization

Tangible Asset Value

Working Capital

Interest Coverage

Long Term Debt to Equity

Calculated Tax Rate

PPandE Turnover

Receivables Turnover

Inventory Turnover

Accounts Payable Turnover

Accrued Expenses Turnover

Operating Margin

Cash and Equivalents Turnover

Return on Investment

Cash Flow Per Share

Revenue to Assets

Total Assets Per Share

Quick Ratio

Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets

Asset Turnover

Book Value per Share

Current Ratio

Debt to Equity Ratio

Dividend Yield

Dividends per Basic Common Share

EBITDA Margin

Earnings per Basic Share

Earnings per Diluted Share

Earnings per Basic Share USD

Enterprise Value over EBIT

Enterprise Value over EBITDA

Free Cash Flow per Share

Gross Margin

Profit Margin

Payout Ratio

Price to Book Value

Price to Earnings Ratio

Price to Sales Ratio

Return on Average Assets

Return on Average Equity

Return on Invested Capital

Return on Sales

Sales per Share

Tangible Assets Book Value per Share

Capital Expenditure

Depreciation Amortization and Accretion

Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents

Net Cash Flow Business Acquisitions and Disposals

Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares

Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities

Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions

Net Cash Flow from Financing

Net Cash Flow from Investing

Net Cash Flow from Operations

Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash

Share Based Compensation

Inventories

Receivables

Accounts Payable

Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income

Total Assets

Current Assets

Assets Non Current

Cash and Equivalents

Cash and Equivalents USD

Total Debt

Debt Current

Debt Non Current

Total Debt USD

Shareholders Equity Attributable to Parent

Shareholders Equity USD

Goodwill and Intangible Assets

Inventory

Total Liabilities

Current Liabilities

Liabilities Non Current

Trade and Non Trade Payables

Property Plant and Equipment Net

Trade and Non Trade Receivables

Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit

Tax Liabilities

Direct Expenses

Consolidated Income

Cost of Revenue

Earning Before Interest and Taxes EBIT

Earning Before Interest and Taxes USD

Gross Profit

Interest Expense

Net Income

Net Income Common Stock

Net Income Common Stock USD

Operating Expenses

Operating Income

Revenues

Revenues USD

Selling General and Administrative Expense

Weighted Average Shares

Weighted Average Shares Diluted

Income Tax Expense

Probability Of Bankruptcy

At this time, FedEx's Free Cash Flow is fairly stable as compared to the past year. Market Capitalization is likely to rise to about 58.1B in 2023, whereas Net Income Per Employee is likely to drop slightly above 13.6K in 2023.

FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

FedEx's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Current FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 1%

Most of FedEx's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, FedEx is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of FedEx probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting FedEx odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of FedEx financial health.

Is FedEx's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FedEx. If investors know FedEx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FedEx listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.13)

Dividend Share

4.82

Earnings Share

16.87

Revenue Per Share

351.563

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.139

The market value of FedEx is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FedEx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FedEx's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FedEx's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FedEx's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FedEx's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between FedEx's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FedEx is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FedEx's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for FedEx is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of FedEx Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since FedEx's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of FedEx's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of FedEx's interrelated accounts and indicators.

The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, FedEx has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.65% lower than that of the Air Freight & Logistics sector and significantly higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses FedEx's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of FedEx could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FedEx by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

FedEx is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

FedEx Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201820192020202120222023 (projected)
Return on Average Assets0.0640.090.010.0180.0650.045
Asset Turnover1.30.981.031.111.051.07
Total Debt18.1B36.1B36.5B37.2B38.3B32.3B
Total Liabilities36.6B55.2B58.6B61.1B70.2B59.4B
Current Liabilities9.0B10.3B13.7B14.3B13.6B12.6B
Total Assets54.4B73.5B82.8B86.0B87.1B79.2B
Current Assets13.1B16.4B20.6B20.4B18.6B18.1B
Net Cash Flow from Operations5.6B5.1B10.1B9.8B8.8B8.3B
Weighted Average Shares260.6M261.2M265.3M259.2M251.4M247.0M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted265M262M268M266M256M300.2M

FedEx ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, FedEx's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to FedEx's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environment Score

Governance Score

Social Score

FedEx Fundamentals

Return On Equity0.16
Return On Asset0.0485
Profit Margin0.05 %
Operating Margin0.08 %
Current Valuation92.99 B
Shares Outstanding249.89 M
Shares Owned By Insiders8.00 %
Shares Owned By Institutions77.19 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.36 M
Price To Earning15.53 X
Price To Book2.30 X
Price To Sales0.70 X
Revenue90.16 B
Gross Profit24.4 B
EBITDA9.94 B
Net Income3.97 B
Cash And Equivalents6.86 B
Cash Per Share26.32 X
Total Debt38.33 B
Debt To Equity1.50 %
Current Ratio1.42 X
Book Value Per Share105.54 X
Cash Flow From Operations8.81 B
Short Ratio2.51 X
Earnings Per Share16.87 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.02 X
Target Price297.75
Number Of Employees328 K
Beta1.33
Market Capitalization61.96 B
Total Asset87.11 B
Retained Earnings35.26 B
Working Capital5.02 B
Current Asset11.99 B
Current Liabilities8.01 B
Z Score3.02
Annual Yield0.02 %
Five Year Return1.28 %
Net Asset87.11 B
Last Dividend Paid4.82

About FedEx Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze FedEx's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of FedEx using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of FedEx based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

FedEx Corporation provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. FedEx Corporation was founded in 1971 and is based in Memphis, Tennessee. Fedex Corp operates under Integrated Freight Logistics classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 345000 people.

FedEx Investors Sentiment

The influence of FedEx's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in FedEx. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Investor biases related to FedEx's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FedEx. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FedEx can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FedEx. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

FedEx's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for FedEx's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average FedEx's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on FedEx.

FedEx Implied Volatility

74.29

FedEx's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FedEx stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FedEx's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FedEx stock will not fluctuate a lot when FedEx's options are near their expiration.

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards FedEx in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, FedEx's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from FedEx options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as FedEx using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

Build Optimal Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy 2023 | FDX | Macroaxis (1)

By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations

When determining whether FedEx offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of FedEx's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fedex Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fedex Stock:

Check out FedEx Piotroski F Score and FedEx Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy FedEx Stock please use our How to Invest in FedEx guide.

Note that the FedEx information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FedEx's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

Complementary Tools for FedEx Stock analysis

When running FedEx's price analysis, check to measure FedEx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FedEx is operating at the current time. Most of FedEx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FedEx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FedEx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FedEx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is FedEx's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FedEx. If investors know FedEx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FedEx listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.13)

Dividend Share

4.82

Earnings Share

16.87

Revenue Per Share

351.563

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.139

The market value of FedEx is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FedEx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FedEx's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FedEx's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FedEx's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FedEx's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between FedEx's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FedEx is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FedEx's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

As someone deeply immersed in financial analysis and an enthusiast with demonstrable expertise in the subject matter, I can provide a comprehensive breakdown of the concepts and information mentioned in the article about FedEx's stock performance analysis. Let's delve into the key elements:

  1. Probability of Bankruptcy:

    • The Probability of Bankruptcy is a crucial metric used to assess the likelihood of a company facing financial distress in the next two years.
    • It is determined by interpolating and adjusting the Altman Z Score, considering off-balance-sheet items and missing/unfiled public information.
    • The Probability of Bankruptcy is presented as a value between 0 and 100, with lower values indicating a lower probability of financial distress.
  2. Financial Metrics:

    • Various financial metrics are employed to analyze FedEx's financial health, including Net Income Per Employee, Revenue Per Employee, Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation (EBITDA), and more.
    • These metrics are derived from the company's balance sheet, cash flow, and income statements.
  3. Market Capitalization:

    • The article mentions that FedEx's Market Capitalization is projected to rise to about 58.1 billion USD in 2023.
  4. Free Cash Flow:

    • FedEx's Free Cash Flow is highlighted as stable in comparison to the past year.
  5. Fundamental Analysis:

    • The Probability of Bankruptcy is part of a broader valuation analysis module that aids investors in identifying stocks trading above or below their real value.
    • Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score are utilized, and the buy/sell recommendation is made based on whether the stock is undervalued or overvalued.
  6. Financial Ratios and Measures:

    • The article provides a plethora of financial ratios and measures, including Return on Investment, Price to Earnings Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, Dividend Yield, and more.
  7. Peer Comparison:

    • FedEx's Probability of Bankruptcy is compared to its peers in the Air Freight & Logistics sector and the broader Industrials industry.
  8. Earnings Projections:

    • Key earnings projections are outlined, such as Quarterly Earnings Growth, Dividend Share, Earnings Share, and Quarterly Revenue Growth.
  9. Sustainability and ESG Scores:

    • The article touches on sustainability, indicating that companies with high sustainability scores might receive higher valuations.
  10. Investor Sentiment:

    • The influence of investor sentiment on FedEx's stock price appreciation or decline is acknowledged.
  11. Implied Volatility:

    • FedEx's implied volatility is mentioned as a measure of market sentiment regarding potential stock price movements.
  12. Macroaxis Tools:

    • The article refers to various tools provided by Macroaxis for portfolio optimization, sentiment analysis, and portfolio diagnostics.

In conclusion, the information presented in the article offers a detailed analysis of FedEx's financial health, performance, and future projections. It encompasses a wide range of financial metrics and tools, providing investors with a comprehensive understanding of the stock's potential.

FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy 2023 | FDX | Macroaxis (2024)
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