FedEx shares tumble 12% after weaker demand hit revenue outlook (2024)

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FedEx shares fell 12% Wednesday morning after the package delivery giant cut its revenue forecast as weaker demand hit sales.

The company said it expects a low-single-digit decline in revenue for the fiscal year, down from a previous forecast for flat sales year over year. Analysts had expected a revenue drop of less than 1% in the current fiscal year, according to LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv.

It's the second consecutive quarter FedEx has lowered its sales outlook.

The company's Express unit, its largest, was especially challenged in the quarter with lower demand, surcharges and customers shifting to cheaper services, FedEx said.

"In the remainder of [fiscal] 2024, we expect revenue will continue to be pressured by volatile macroeconomic conditions, negatively affecting customer demand for our services across our transportation companies," FedEx said in a filing. Its fiscal year ends May 31.

The company said, however, that operating income would improve thanks to its cost-cutting plan.

Here's how FedEx performed versus Wall Street's expectations:

  • Adjusted earnings per share:$3.99 vs. $4.18, according to analysts surveyed by LSEG
  • Revenue:$22.17 billion vs. $22.41 billion expected

For the three-month period ending Nov. 30, FedEx reported net income of $900 million, or $3.55 a share, versus $788 million, or $3.07 a share, a year earlier. Adjusting for certain items, the company posted earnings of $1.01 billion or $3.99 per share, up more than 25% from a year earlier but below analyst forecasts.

The company credited cost-cutting initiatives for its higher profit. Revenue fell 3% to $22.17 billion from a year earlier.

"When you step back and review how our business has performed in environments with suppressed demand, we are delivering much better profitability today than we have historically," FedEx CEO Raj Subramaniam said on an earnings call Tuesday.

Correction: Revenue was$22.17 billion versus $22.41 billion expected. An earlier version mischaracterized the figures.

FedEx shares tumble 12% after weaker demand hit revenue outlook (2024)

FAQs

FedEx shares tumble 12% after weaker demand hit revenue outlook? ›

FedEx shares fell 12% Wednesday morning after the package delivery giant cut its revenue forecast as weaker demand hit sales. The company said it expects a low-single-digit decline in revenue for the fiscal year, down from a previous forecast for flat sales year over year.

What is the outlook for FedEx share price? ›

The average price target for FedEx is $307.47. This is based on 19 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months. The highest analyst price target is $351.00 ,the lowest forecast is $210.00. The average price target represents 23.95% Increase from the current price of $248.05.

Why are FedEx stocks dropping? ›

Shares of FedEx Corporation FDX declined 3.32% on Apr 1 to $280.13 per share from $289.74 on Mar 28. This downside was mainly due to the non-renewal of the air-cargo contract with United States Postal Service or USPS. The current contract with FedEx will expire on Sep 29, 2024.

Is FedEx stock undervalued? ›

According to our valuation model, FedEx seems to be fairly priced at around 9.9% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy FedEx today, you'd be paying a reasonable price for it.

Is FedEx in trouble financially? ›

FedEx maintained its full fiscal-year outlook of "low-single-digit percentage decline" in revenue and narrowed its earnings view to $17.25-$18.25 per share. In December 2023, FedEx predicted full 2024 earnings of $17-$18.50 per share.

Should I sell my FedEx stock? ›

Is FedEx stock a Buy, Sell or Hold? FedEx stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is and is based on 69 buy ratings, 29 hold ratings, and 1 sell ratings.

Is FedEx a good long term stock? ›

FDX boasts a Value Style Score of A and VGM Score of A, and holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) rating. Shares of FedEx are trading at a forward earnings multiple of 14.7X, as well as a PEG Ratio of 1.2, a Price/Cash Flow ratio of 8X, and a Price/Sales ratio of 0.7X.

What is FedEx outlook for 2024? ›

The company now expects earnings per share for fiscal 2024 to be in the range of $17.25 to $18.25, compared with its prior forecast of $17 to $18.50 per share.

Will Amazon Buy FedEx? ›

The two sides didn't reach a deal, but the developments come as FedEx has sought to boost parcel volumes amid an industry slump and Amazon seeks to improve the experience its customers have in returning items.

Who owns the most FedEx stock? ›

  • The Dodge & Cox Stock Fund (DODGX) The Dodge & Cox Stock Fund (DODGX) is the biggest fund holder of FedEx stock, owning about 10.8 shares for a market value of $1.6 billion at the end of September 2021. ...
  • The Vanguard PRIMECAP Fund Admiral Shares (VPMAX) ...
  • The Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Admiral Shares (VTSAX)

Is FedEx stock expected to rise? ›

FedEx Stock Price Forecast 2024-2025

The forecasted FedEx price at the end of 2024 is $271 - and the year to year change +7%. The rise from today to year-end: +9%. In the middle of 2024, we expect to see $256.

What will FedEx stock be worth in 5 years? ›

Fedex Corp quote is equal to 246.430 USD at 2024-06-15. Based on our forecasts, a long-term increase is expected, the "FDX" stock price prognosis for 2029-06-06 is 294.798 USD. With a 5-year investment, the revenue is expected to be around +19.63%. Your current $100 investment may be up to $119.63 in 2029.

Should I buy UPS or FedEx stock? ›

While we expect both FDX and UPS to see small gains, the latter will likely fare better between the two. UPS' 11% average annual growth rate in the last three years is marginally better than 10% for FedEx. The revenue growth for FedEx was driven by e-commerce growth and better price realization.

What is FedEx long-term outlook? ›

FedEx is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 10.5% and 4.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.9% in 3 years.

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