First-time buyers give best start to year for mortgages since crisis (2024)

It was the best start to a year since January 2008, with 38,300 mortgages advanced - where the loan is actually provided to the buyer by the lender - in January, according to the latest figures by the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML). The approvals were an 11pc increase on the same month in 2011.

Driving this increase, CML said, was the first-time buyer, which was "proportionately higher" than home mover activity, which also contributed to the rise.

A total of 15,900 mortgages worth £2 billion were advanced to first-time buyers in January, up 24pc compared to the same month last year, and the largest total since January 2008.

For the third consecutive month, first-time buyer activity accounted for 42pc of all mortgages, suggesting that the market remains more favourable for first-time buyers, CML said.

Number of house purchase loans

Value of house purchase loans, £m

Number of remortgage loans

Value of remortgage loans, £m

January 2013

38,300

5,700

22,500

3,000

Change from

December 2012

-16.6%

-17.4%

3.2%

3.4%

Change from

January 2012

10.7%

9.6%

-22.9%

-23.1%

Ashley Brown, director of independent mortgage broker Moneysprite, said the Funding for Lending Scheme was helping to boost first-time buyers in the market.

The scheme, which launched last August, was set up by the Bank of England to help the economy by using taxpayer subsidies to reduce banks’ funding costs, which were then supposed to be passed on to borrowers.

"Despite early doubts about the effectiveness of the Funding for Lending Scheme, it's now the main reason why lenders are offering more competitively priced products, and most crucially at the first time buyer end of the market," he said.

"Without the first time buyer, the market cannot improve.

"It's vital that funds from the Funding for Lending Scheme don't dry up. If they do, lenders will once again head for the safe haven of higher deposit borrowers and we'll be back to square one."

Mark Harris, chief executive of mortgage broker SPF Private Clients, said the numbers suggested that "the recovery is underway", with the FLS helping first-time buyers to the market.

"They are still putting down a 20pc deposit, on average, and with the FLS making more deals available at 90pc loan-to-value, this should further increase the number of first-time buyers able to get on the housing ladder in coming months," he said.

Figures out from the Bank of England earlier this month showed that Britain's banks and building societies drew £13.8bn from the state-backed scheme cheap credit scheme (FLS) in its first five months of operation, but cut loans to households and businesses by almost £2bn.

The Bank's data from August to the end of December showed that just 13 lenders used the scheme, which was designed to help revive the economy by lowering borrowing costs and increasing the supply of credit for households and businesses.

Economists described the figures as “disappointing” and Vince Cable, the Business Secretary, repeated his call for changes to the scheme, telling BBC Radio 4’s World at One that “it may need to be adapted”. He will be meeting Paul Tucker, the Bank’s deputy governor, “to discuss how we can improve it”.

The 13 lenders that tapped the FLS reduced their stock of UK loans by £1.88bn. Of those, 10 did increase lending but their efforts were more than offset by massive withdrawals by Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyds Banking Group and Santander.

Despite the strong start to the year, lending was down 16.6pc in January compared to December 2012, CML said.

However, Howard Archer, economist at IHS Global Insight, noted that the data was not seasonally adjusted and mortgage advances traditionally dipped in January.

"It is looking increasingly likely that that house prices could eke out a small gain over 2013 supported by modestly increased activity," he said.

"However, it remains hard to see house prices making a decisive move upward in 2013 given the still difficult and uncertain economic environment. Indeed, periodic slips in house prices remain highly possible."

In another sign that activity could be about to push up again, the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) said at the start of the month that the number of househunters its members have recently seen has reached a five-year high.

First-time buyers give best start to year for mortgages since crisis (2024)

FAQs

Are recessions good for first-time home buyers? ›

During a traditional recession, the Fed will usually lower interest rates. This creates an incentive for people to spend money and stimulate the economy. It also typically leads to more affordable mortgage rates, which leads to more opportunity for homebuyers.

Will 2024 be a good year to buy a house? ›

The combination of high mortgage rates, steep home prices and low inventory levels are lining up to make the 2024 housing market a challenging one for both buyers and sellers. But rates have cooled a bit — if that continues throughout the year, as some experts predict, then market activity should heat up in response.

What is the best option for first-time buyers? ›

FHA Mortgage

FHA mortgages are low-down payment mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA). They're a catch-all program for first-time buyers ineligible for other low- and no-down payment options. FHA mortgages allow: Minimum down payment of 3.5%

Is it better to buy a house at the end of the year or beginning? ›

Save on Taxes

If you buy a home before the end of the year and close by December 31, you can lower your tax liability with mortgage-related deductions. These deductions include property taxes, mortgage interest, and interest costs. Tax deductions can reduce your taxable income and potentially save you hundreds.

Is a recession coming in 2024? ›

Economists predict another year of slow growth around the world in 2024. While the risk of a global recession is lower in the year ahead, two G7 economies dipped into recession at the end of 2023.

Will housing be cheaper if the market crashes? ›

Will housing be cheaper if the market crashes? It indicates an expandable section or menu, or sometimes previous / next navigation options. A market crash would likely push prices down and make housing cheaper, but it would remain unaffordable for many if the crash was caused by a larger recession.

Will mortgage rates drop in 2024? ›

The good news: With the U.S. Federal Reserve widely expected to begin cutting its benchmark interest rate in 2024, mortgage rates could drop as well—at least slightly. But that doesn't necessarily mean a return to the pre-pandemic era of more affordable mortgages and home prices.

What is the hottest housing market in 2024? ›

The Spring 2024 Wall Street Journal/Realtor.com Housing Market Ranking
RankMetroPopulation
1Rockford, Ill.333,632
2Canton-Massillon, Ohio398,627
3Ann Arbor, Mich369,035
4Akron, Ohio697,935
16 more rows
Apr 25, 2024

Should I sell now or wait until 2024? ›

Best Time to Sell Your House for a Higher Price

April, June, and July are the best months to sell your house in California. The median sale price of houses in June 2023, was $796,400, which is expected to grow more in 2024. However, cities like Arcadia and San Mateo follow an upward trend throughout the year.

What is the best mortgage company for first-time buyers? ›

NerdWallet's Best Mortgage Lenders for First-Time Home Buyers in 2024
  • NBKC: Best for rate transparency.
  • New American Funding: Best for borrowers with nontraditional credit.
  • Guaranteed Rate: Best for customer satisfaction.
  • Andrews Federal Credit Union: Best for military borrowers.
  • Flagstar: Best for overall mortgage lending.

What type of loan is best for first-time buyers? ›

Low-down payment conventional loans

Conventional loans are the most popular type of mortgage, and only require 3 percent down. This makes them an attractive option for first-time homebuyers who might not have considerable savings to draw from.

What age are most first-time buyers? ›

A third of first-time buyers in 2022-23 were aged over 35 - 20% aged 35-44, and 13% aged over 45. Almost two in three (65%) first-time buyer mortgage quotes between 2022-23 were to those applied using the title 'Mr'.

Will 2024 be the best time to buy a house? ›

With the current trend in the CA housing market, you'll find better deals on your dream home during Q2 2024. As per Fannie Mae, mortgage rates may drop more in Q2 of 2024 due to economic changes, inflation, and central bank policy adjustments.

Should I buy a house now or wait for a recession? ›

If your credit score is strong, your employment is stable and you have enough savings to cover a down payment and closing costs, buying now might still be smart. If your personal finances are not ideal at the moment, or if home values in your area are on the decline, it might be better to wait.

What time of year is hardest to buy a house? ›

On the other hand, the worst time of year to buy a house is during the spring season up to early summer, when housing inventory is high, driving the demand and home prices up. Aside from seasonality, other economic factors, such as mortgage rates, may also affect your ability to buy a home.

Is it risky to buy a house before a recession? ›

However, it is difficult to time the market. Therefore, you might buy a home at a great price, but the home you buy may be worth less before the recession ends. Risk of Foreclosure – During recessions job losses increase. If you lose your job or have a reduction in income you may not be able to afford the payment.

Is it harder to get a mortgage in a recession? ›

Is it harder to get a mortgage during a recession? Because finances for many can be on shaky ground during a recession, lenders often tighten standards. You may need a higher credit score, bigger down payment or lower DTI. However, certain things may also work in your favor.

Are houses cheaper to buy in a recession? ›

The article states that home prices generally fall during recessions, but they can rise or fall depending on various factors such as supply and demand dynamics, geography, and outlook for the labor market 2.

Will mortgage rates go down if we go into a recession? ›

Do Interest Rates Rise or Fall in a Recession? Interest rates usually fall during a recession. Historically, the economy typically grows until interest rates are hiked to cool down price inflation and the soaring cost of living. Often, this results in a recession and a return to low interest rates to stimulate growth.

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