Futures: Five Stocks Flash Buy Signals; Tesla Gets Sell Rating (2024)

Dow Jones futures were little changed early Wednesday, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures.

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The stock market rally shrugged off a hotter-than-expected core CPI inflation reading on Tuesday, with Oracle (ORCL) gapping up on earnings and Nvidia (NVDA) bouncing. Big-cap techs led the S&P 500 to an all-time closing high, but market breadth was weak.

ServiceNow (NOW), Shockwave Medical (SWAV), Archrock (AROC), Symbotic (SYM) and Microsoft (MSFT) flashed buy signals Tuesday, at least intraday.

Investors had an opportunity Tuesday to make some incremental buys, but that window may quickly close once again.

Early Wednesday, Dollar Tree (DLTR) tumbled on weak results.

Tesla (TSLA) fell as Wells Fargo downgraded the EV giant to the equivalent of a sell rating slashing its price target.

Nvidia stock and ServiceNow are on IBD Leaderboard. ServiceNow stock is on SwingTrader. MSFT stock is on IBD Long-Term Leaders. Nvidia, Symbotic and Shockwave stock are on the IBD 50. Archrock was Tuesday's IBD Stock Of The Day.

Dow Jones Futures Today

Dow Jones futures rose 0.1% vs. fair value. S&P 500 futures were little changed and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 0.1%.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.18%. Crude oil futures rose more than 1%.

Bitcoin rallied back above $73,000, hitting a fresh all-time high.

Remember that overnight action in Dow futures and elsewhere doesn't necessarily translate into actual trading in the next regular stock market session.

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Stock Market Rally

The stock market rally had a strong session despite generally high CPI data, perhaps because some details hint at a tamer reading for the Fed's favorite inflation gauge, the core PCE price index. Nvidia and Oracle stock led a rebound in big techs, along with ServiceNow, Microsoft and Meta Platforms (META).

The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.6% in Tuesday's stock market trading, rising from the 21-day and 10-week moving averages and reclaiming the 39,000 level. The S&P 500 index gained 1.1, off the 10-day line to set a new closing high. The Nasdaq composite jumped 1.5%, rebounding from near the 21-day line and almost setting a closing high

Despite the solid-to-strong gains in the major indexes, decliners narrowly topped advancers.

The small-cap Russell 2000 fell a fraction, a third straight decline, though off session lows.

The Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) climbed 0.3%, well below the S&P 500's pace but also setting a record close. The First Trust Nasdaq 100 Equal Weighted Index ETF (QQEW) rose a solid 0.8%, but lagged the Nasdaq 100's 1.5% leap. On the other hand, RSP and QQEW held up a little better in the prior two sessions.

Nvidia and many AI chip names have been leading the rally, but are significantly or greatly extended.

Some big-cap software names, including AI plays such as ServiceNow and Microsoft, have been consolidating for some time. Oracle, which gapped up to a buy point, gave the sector a lift with its earnings and bullish comments. Medical products names, including Shockwave stock and Dexcom (DXCM), are looking interesting. So are a number of energy services firms like Archrock stock. Banks and payment stocks also are doing well.

The Nasdaq and S&P 500 aren't extended, but after one strong day are once again close to being so. That's a downside of the market refusing to have a substantial pause or pullback.

U.S. crude oil prices fell 0.5% to $77.56 a barrel.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose 5 basis points to 4.15%.

ETFs

Among growth ETFs, the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) rebounded 2.2%. Microsoft is a major IGV holding, along with Oracle and ServiceNow. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) rallied 3.2%. Nvidia stock is the No. 1 holding in SMH.

Reflecting more-speculative story stocks, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) fell 0.8% and ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) slumped 1.6%. Tesla stock is a major holding across Ark Invest's ETFs.

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) retreated 1.7% and the Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) rose 0.6%. U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) descended 2.15%. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) climbed 1.4%. The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) dipped 0.2% and the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) advanced 0.5%.

The Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) edged up 0.4%.

The Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) gained 0.4%, almost back to early 2022's all-time highs. The SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) fell 1%.

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Stocks In Buy Zones

ServiceNow stock popped 4.3% to 789.56, rebounding from around the 50-day line, back above the 21-day line and breaking a downtrend. That offers an early entry in an emerging flat base that is set to be valid after this week.

Shockwave stock rose 2.7% to 264.70, breaking the trendline of a short consolidation, a day after rebounding from the 21-day line. That offers an early entry. Investors also could use 270.96 as the official entry for the recent action, which includes a three-weeks-tight pattern. Investors could view the recent action as a handle to a long, deep SWAV stock consolidation.

Symbotic stock climbed 3.15% to 46.43, continuing a recent bounce from around the 50-day line and other converging moving averages. Shares reached 47.89 intraday before paring gains. The warehouse automation specialist is flirting with a trendline entry, with the March 8 high of 47.05 as a specific trigger. It may be best to buy SYM stock at an early entry rather than wait for an official buy point. But it's a very volatile stock.

Microsoft stock advanced 2.7% to 415.01, rebounding from the 10-week line and retaking the 21-day line. That could offer an early or add-on entry. But unlike ServiceNow, Microsoft hasn't quite broken a trendline in its emerging flat base. Investors could wait for a little more progress, to the 416-417 level or above

Archrock stock rose 1.9% to 18.41, extending Tuesday's bounce from the 21-day moving average. That topped a short trendline, offering an early entry AROC stock has an ascending base with an official 19.42 buy point, according to the daily chart on MarketSurge. The natural gas services firm provides compression services related to natural gas pipelines and transport, which is faring better than ailing natgas production.

Nvidia Stock

Nvidia stock jumped 7.2% to 919.13, bouncing from the 10-day moving average in above-normal volume. That followed Monday's 2% decline and Friday's ugly downside reversal in huge volume. On March 7, the AI chip leader was the most extended vs. the 50-day that it's been since 2023. With Tuesday's move, NVDA stock is 35.6% above the 50-day line, still significantly stretched.

Tesla Stock

Tesla stock fell modestly in premarket trade. Shares edged down 0.1% to 177.54 on Tuesday, briefly setting a fresh 10-month low.

Before Wednesday's open, Wells Fargo downgraded Tesla to underweight and cut its price target to 125 from 200. The analyst expects deliveries to fall short, with weaker sales and prices pushing its 2024 EPS estimate nearly a third below consensus. Wells Fargo also said a yet-unveiled cheap EV may be not be a boon for Tesla, citing "likely tough" economics.

What To Do Now

The market rally once again has quickly found support. That resilience is impressive, but makes it hard for new bases to form. That's especially true of Nvidia and other AI chip names that have led the market in the past few months.

But a number of other sectors, including software, medical products and energy have some quality forging new bases. Some of these stocks have relative strength lines that have been lagging as a result, but generally after prior uptrends.

Investors could have taken advantage of some of these names, depending on their exposure levels. But with the market rally close to extended, the window to buy could close quickly. If the major indexes pull back soon, Tuesday's actionable stocks could struggle, at least temporarily.

This is why it's important to work on your watchlists, making sure you're looking beyond the hottest names at the moment. You want to spot emerging new opportunities before they've gotten extended.

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Futures: Five Stocks Flash Buy Signals; Tesla Gets Sell Rating (2024)

FAQs

Is Tesla a buy or sell right now? ›

Is Tesla stock a Buy, Sell or Hold? Tesla stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is and is based on 46 buy ratings, 32 hold ratings, and 16 sell ratings.

Is Tesla a good stock to buy in 2024? ›

Tesla Stock Declines In 2024

That signals another year of earnings declines for this growth stock. Analysts currently expect Tesla earnings per share of just $2.48 in 2024, according to FactSet. That would be more than a 20% decline vs. $3.12 in 2023.

How high will Tesla stock go? ›

Average Price Target

Based on 32 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Tesla in the last 3 months. The average price target is $173.29 with a high forecast of $310.00 and a low forecast of $22.86. The average price target represents a -0.89% change from the last price of $174.84.

What is the target price for Tesla in 2025? ›

Projections on Tesla's stock peak diverge. An upbeat view from TipRanks analysts hints at a $229 average price target, while Long Forecast foresees an increase to around $332 by the end of 2025.

What is the Tesla prediction for tomorrow? ›

Based on the current trend the price of TSLA stock is predicted to rise by 0.77% tomorrow and gain 2.36% in the next 7 days.

What is the fair value of Tesla stock? ›

As of 2024-05-16, the Fair Value of Tesla Inc (TSLA) is 107.02 USD. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 173.99 USD, the upside of Tesla Inc is -38.5%.

Is Tesla a good long-term stock? ›

With its 4-star rating, we believe Tesla's stock is undervalued compared with our long-term fair value estimate, which we've raised to $200 from $195 after updating our model following the firm's first-quarter earnings. We use a weighted average cost of capital of just under 9%.

Will Tesla last long-term? ›

The life expectancy of a Tesla car can vary, but many Tesla owners report their vehicles lasting well over a decade with proper maintenance. Tesla's battery and drive unit warranty usually spans 8 years or a specified mileage limit, which can offer a useful guideline.

Will Tesla succeed long-term? ›

As the EV market evolves, Tesla must adapt its strategies and find ways to bridge the gap between early adopters and the early majority. Tesla's early success in the EV market is commendable, but its long-term sustainability hinges on its ability to cross the innovation chasm and achieve widespread adoption.

Who are the largest shareholders of Tesla? ›

KoGuan Leo has been one of Tesla's largest shareholders for years and is the company's biggest retail investor, with over 27 million shares held. Recently, he has been vocal about his distaste for Musk's leadership, and against a potential pay package ratification.

Is Tesla undervalued? ›

Morningstar analyst Seth Goldstein raised his fair value estimate for Tesla shares to $200 following the first quarter results and views the shares as undervalued. “Tesla's affordable vehicles are a catalyst for shares,” Goldstein wrote in a note to clients.

Does China own part of Tesla? ›

Musk did not want to share ownership of Tesla's factory with a Chinese company, as was required at the time. So in 2018 officials revoked the rule for all foreign electric car companies. The change was Tesla's second big win.

What is Tesla's prediction for 2024? ›

We forecast that Tesla's deliveries will be roughly flat in 2024 versus 1.8 million in 2023. We anticipate lower average selling prices, as Tesla will likely have to cut prices in key markets like China, in line with peers. We forecast automotive gross margins will be 18% in 2024, in line with 2023 results.

How much will Tesla's cost in 5 years? ›

A Tesla Model 3 will depreciate 21% after 5 years and have a 5 year resale value of $47,040. The chart below shows the expected depreciation for the next 10 years. These results are for vehicles in good condition, averaging 12,000 miles per year. It also assumes a selling price of $59,665 when new.

What will Apple stock be worth in 2030? ›

End of 2030: Apple could reach a market cap of $8.7 trillion by 2030, representing a share price of $561. That is a 232% gain from today's price.

Are Tesla cars going down in value? ›

During the past year, the price of a used 2021 Tesla Model 3 sedan has dropped, on average, about 29%, going from $40,522 in January of 2023 to just $28,700 in January 2024, according to data from Edmunds.com. In general, model year 2021 used vehicles of all types lost about 19.5% in value over that same period.

Is NVDA a good stock to buy? ›

Nvidia stock comes in as a Strong Buy based on the ratings of 42 analysts in the past three months. There are currently 40 Buys, two Holds, and zero Sell ratings. The average NVDA stock price target is $1,027.95, with a high forecast of $1,400 and a low forecast of $620.

Are Tesla car sales down? ›

Between 2018 and 2020, Tesla accounted for 80% of EV sales in the U.S., but that figure fell to 55% in 2023, according to Cox Automotive. A record 1.2 million EVs were sold in the U.S. last year, according to Cox data.

What will Tesla stock be worth in 2040? ›

Key takeaways:
20252040
TSLA stock forecast (5% annual growth)$184$403
TSLA stock forecast (S&P 500 historical 11.13% ROI - last 50 yrs)$195$1,056
TSLA stock forecast (QTEC historical 15.2% ROI - last 18 yrs)$202$1,947
Mar 21, 2024

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