How Has Covid-19 Affected Restaurants | City National Bank (2024)

For restaurant owners, 2020 has been a year of quick and constant change. While many reopened restaurants across the country have beenforced to closeagain due to the coronavirus pandemic, the CEO of OpenTable is predicting thatone in four restaurantswill not reopen once the pandemic ends.

Nevertheless, there are a handful of restaurateurs who have been able to plan for the new industry ahead in new and innovative ways.

Mendocino Farms, Dave's Hot Chicken, Jon & Vinny's and the restaurants helmed by chef and entrepreneur Wolfgang Puck are just a few who are figuring out how to redefine the shifting food culture in Southern California, where indoor dining is prohibited for the time being.

At Puck's restaurantChinois on Mainin Santa Monica, contactless takeout and delivery is the new norm. AtSpagoin Beverly Hills, diners placed to-go orders for a popular new dish featured in April - crispy fried chicken. Puck himself hosted a Zoom dinner party and cooking demo in May: For $175 per person, participants took part in an interactive cook-along with Chef Wolfgang, eating together like old friends in this new normal.

Adapting quickly to changing conditions has been lifesaving for some restaurants, but that doesn't mean it has been easy. "It is a very difficult time to operate during the pandemic. No matter if a restaurant is small or large, ultimately we have to adjust the cost and labor for the business," said Puck. “It's obvious that everyone is affected by the virus. But we try to help every farmer, fisherman, purveyor as much as we can... because we want everyone to stay in business."

Pivoting is not a foreign skill set to the restaurant industry, but the coronavirus pandemic, which has disproportionately affected restaurants of all sizes, is forcing changes that are challenging for even the most seasoned restaurateurs, including widespread dining room closures and debilitating guidelines for safety and social distancing.

"The pandemic is huge for restaurants in multiple ways. It's challenging the normal operations model for all restaurants, whether they are fast food drive-through or white tablecloth sit-down," says Marques Bayne, franchise finance banker at City National Bank. "The restaurant industryisn't like retail, where people can just put on a mask and keep going as normal. There are all kinds of new protocols for social distancing, food safety, dining room closures and others, and both profitability and top line revenues are changing."

As chefs and restaurant owners across the country work to support the restaurant and food culture in the cities they call home, four industry leaders are speaking up about how they are using this time to redefine food—and their communities—for the better.

And though a widespread reopening for dining rooms may be further down the road, new promotions and takeout menus have arrived right on time.

Setting the Table, or Removing the Table: Which Is It?

For many restaurants in California and elsewhere, one of the biggest challenges of the pandemic has been the stop-and-go process of closing and reopening.

After widespread shutdowns in March, many states and municipalities began allowing restaurants to reopen during the summer, only to reverse course a few weeks later as COVID-19 cases surged anew.

“It's a balance between planning and reacting right now," said Ty Phelps, director of marketing atDave's Hot Chicken, which operates four locations in Southern California. “We were moving toward reopening our dining rooms, and then everything completely flipped around to where we were a couple of months earlier."

In late July, Dave's Hot Chicken was still doing business via takeout windows, third-party delivery services and curbside pickup only. While operating a restaurant without a dining room is not exactly traditional, it hasn't been so bad for Dave's.

“People still want to eat out... they don't want to cook every single night. The places that are really people's favorites are going to continue to do well."

After the local stay at home order went into effect on March 13, Dave's sales declined for about two weeks, said Phelps. But the restaurant added online ordering capability, and “our sales stabilized almost immediately and now have actually gone up," he said.

Like Dave's, restaurants with shuttered dining rooms are looking to drive sales “by maximizing all revenue generators they can take out of the four walls of their restaurants," Bayne said.

For instance, the appeal of many great restaurants is the in-person dining experience. To survive when indoor dining isn't possible or appealing to many customers, restaurants are having to find new ways to generate revenue outside the restaurant itself, such as Puck's Zoom dinner party.

For many restaurants, creating revenue outside the dining room includes offering to-go meals, family meals, pre-packaged or frozen meals and meal kits, Bayne continued. But to provide those services effectively, restaurateurs are finding they must change the ways they operate.

Developing New Models for New Times

Things must be done differently if restaurants are to continue accepting orders, fulfilling them and getting food out to customers on time. As a result, many restaurants are not only building new service lines but also devising new operations.

To succeed, restaurants must find the "sweet spot" between leaner operations to preserve cash flow and continuing to provide value and "craveability," Bayne said. That may mean narrowing the menu to focus on signature favorites or items that travel well for takeout, therefore minimizing waste. It may also mean thinning staffing levels to a new, leaner workforce that provides good service while keeping costs low, and offering new product lines to meet the needs of customers.

“Our ability to react quickly and nimbly to guest needs by creating new offerings and order modes has helped us stay top-of-mind."

Kevin Miles CEO Mendocino Farms

For example,Mendocino Farms, which operates 33 neighborhood restaurants across California and Texas, has responded to the realities of the pandemic by developing new marketing promotions to make it easier for guests “to access delicious food during a difficult time," according to CEO Kevin Miles.

To meet people where they are, Mendocino Farms created new product categories and packages that appeal to those who are sheltering in place.

Mendocino Farms started off by offering “Marketplace Goods," such as discounted bottles of wine, loaves of freshly baked bread and bottles of select house-made dressings, to help customers complete takeout meals and avoid trips to the supermarket.

While the Marketplace Goods sold, Miles said they quickly realized the opportunity for bundled packages over individual items.

One of Mendocino Farms' most successful marketing promotions during the pandemic has been The Mendo Meal Deal, whichofferedany four sandwiches or entrée salads and two deli sides for $40. “We initially thought it would appeal the most to families, but it turns out that a lot of couples and individuals were using it as a cost-effective way to stock-up on lunches and dinners for a few days to avoid cooking," Miles said.

“This deal was compelling for our guests because it gave them the flexibility to build a package to their preference, and it felt like an incredible value," he continued, "as we rarely discount our food."

Coming Together in Spirit, if Not in Person

“It's an amazing full circle of corporate America helping small business, and small businesses helping people in need. We feel a deep sense of wanting to help our neighbors and are lucky to have partners that share those values."

Jon Shook Co-Owner Jon & Vinny's, Animal & Son of A Gun

Along with focusing on how they can provide relevant services and the same great food for their patrons, many restaurant owners also are working with large companies to meet the needs of their local communities.

Jon & Vinny's, a beloved Italian restaurant with two locations in Los Angeles – one in Fairfax and one in Brentwood – has partnered with Amazon Studios, American Express, Lexus and World Central Kitchen to cook and deliver meals to people in need, including first responders, hospitals, schools and homeless individuals. Their experience provides a prime example of how restaurants can not only impact their local neighborhoods but also find alternative revenue sources that allow them to stay afloat during an extended shutdown.

“My fingers are crossed that we're able to continue to receive this support from partnering organizations because restaurants and catering won't return to normal anytime soon," said Jon Shook, co-owner of Jon & Vinny's,AnimalandSon of A Gunin Los Angeles, and a partner in numerous other restaurants. “And though these funds may run out, we hope this type of community outreach can remain" part of restaurant culture.

In addition to meeting the needs of the local community, restaurant owners are also working to meet the needs of their suppliers. Shook said his restaurants' relationships with local farmers has strengthened during the pandemic “because we are all working together to survive."

He suggested other restaurant owners double-check pricing with their suppliers to ensure that each is providing the best pricing and utilizing best practices.

When business slowed early in the pandemic at Dave's Hot Chicken, some suppliers decreased the frequency of their deliveries. Although business has picked back up, Phelps said the restaurant has adapted to less-frequent deliveries and learned to plan ahead better for supply needs.

“I think we all learned that takeout might become part of our business to accommodate everyone. I also foresee us doing more small dinner parties at people's homes instead of doing dinner parties at restaurants."

Wolfgang Puck Award-Winning Chef & Restaurateur

New Rules? No Problem

After the pandemic started, Mendocino Farms worked quickly to launch its newMendo app, which offers mobile ordering of both their regular and catering menus, delivery and unique functionality for curbside pickup. “This new technology allows guests to pick up their orders without notifying the store of their arrival," Miles said. “Once the guest drives into the store's set radius, our store team is alerted and can immediately meet the guest with their order. It's seamless, completely contactless and easy."

As restaurants find their footing in a new environment defined by curbside pickup and takeout, many chefs and restaurant owners say the changes they're undertaking now will become a permanent part of their restaurant culture.

For instance, Puck's fine dining restaurants, including Spago Beverly Hills, Chinois on Main andWolfgang Puck at Hotel Bel-Air,have all adapted to the widespread demand for takeout options and outdoor dining. As diners become more comfortable with ordering out, Puck is able to decipher what works and what doesn't and to use their preferences as seeds of inspiration.

And Puck isn't the only one reconsidering the overall dining experience. As more restaurants move toward the takeout option as a crucial part of their business models, menus and restaurant offerings are being reshaped and reconsidered.

Jon & Vinny's has expanded its menu to includenew goods, such as local and organic produce, beer, house-made sauces, desserts and other favorites for customers to take home and use in their own kitchens. The trendy New American restaurantAnimal, which Jon also co-owns and has closed temporarily during the pandemic, is functioning as the Jon & Vinny's Goods store.

“People have really enjoyed this service, and we are exploring the option of keeping it running post-pandemic," said Shook. “Not all food works for takeout, so our menus will necessarily adapt." Many restaurants normally survive on their top five menu items, according to Shook, and he predicts that they will simply take less popular or experimental items off the menus moving forward to reduce waste and labor.

But Still, Expect to Wine and Dine Again

When dining rooms can reopen, attention to detailed safety protocols will inevitably affect the experience of restaurant dining.

For instance, Dave's Hot Chicken expects to eliminate self-service and have a staff person manning the drink station at all times. Rather than allowing guests to fill and refill their own drinks as usual, the staffer will serve drinks and refills, helping the restaurant maintain sanitation regulations.

Shook expects to see more restaurants hiring sanitation directors to ensure they are in compliance with regulatory guidelines.

Other changes that will be required for restaurants to reopen safely will include removing some furniture to allow for distancing, and creating new plans for traffic flow throughout the dining room, Phelps noted. Restaurant dining may look different for some time, but for most restaurants, the changes that will stick long-term are the ones that allow them to do what they do best while protecting their staffers and their customers.

“The most important thing right now is finding the best way to open safely, keeping employees safe and guests safe," Phelps said. “We want to make changes that align with those priorities but that do not change our identity."

For many restaurants, the dining experience is as important as the food. But, in times like these, restaurants and those who love to dine out are staring at a blank canvas. They have the opportunity to redefine now what might constitute a "great" restaurant experience in the future.

And the restaurants that are surviving—and even thriving—are taking each new day, and definition, in stride.

How Has Covid-19 Affected Restaurants | City National Bank (2024)

FAQs

How has the COVID-19 pandemic affected restaurants? ›

Full-service restaurant (FSR) spending returned slowly in 2021. The average total dollars spent in February– April 2021 was $11.31 billion, which was 21.52 percent lower than the same period pre-pandemic, February–April 2019, though this spending is still 23.18 percent higher than February–April 2020 spending.

How has COVID-19 affected the food industry? ›

Demand shocks and problems with supply chains contributed to increased volatility in import, export, producer, and consumer prices in the months following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. Meat, fish, dairy, and eggs were especially affected by the shifting economy brought on by the pandemic.

How were businesses affected by COVID-19? ›

Every industry suffered job losses since the start of the pandemic. Within prominent industries of the top 100 metros, the accommodation and food services industry, which includes hotels, restaurants, and similar businesses,3 suffered most, with employment dropping to 86 percent of its pre-crisis levels.

What are the impacts of COVID-19? ›

The crisis had a dramatic impact on global poverty and inequality. Global poverty increased for the first time in a generation, and disproportionate income losses among disadvantaged populations led to a dramatic rise in inequality within and across countries.

What is the effect of COVID-19 on food sales? ›

On average, we show the recessionary effects of COVID-19 are likely to increase the growth of food-at-home sales by 1 percent and decrease the growth of food-away-from-home sales by 0.9 percent.

Did the COVID-19 pandemic dampen americans tipping for food services? ›

Tip-per-order was decreasing over time before the coronavirus emergency declaration. After the declaration, tip-per-order increased by US$1.24 and the previous negative trend was eliminated (see Figure 2).

How did COVID affect food insecurity? ›

In the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, in April 2020, the prevalence of any food insecurity was as high as 20.4%. The prevalence decreased to 8.9% by March 2021, with most of the decline occurring in the early months, before leveling off in mid-2020 (Figure 1). Figure 1.

How has COVID-19 affected supply and demand? ›

At the same time, Covid-related shutdowns rapidly rotated consumer demand towards goods and away from in-person services. This collision of pandemic-induced supply shocks and strong demand for goods generated inflationary pressure across the global economy.

How has COVID affected the grocery business? ›

Competitive Impacts of Supply Chain Disruptions

These insights include: Grocery retailer profits rose & remain elevated: Food and beverage retailer revenues increased to more than 6% over total costs in 2021, higher than their most recent peak in 2015 of 5.6%.

How did COVID affect the economy? ›

Total nonfarm employment fell by 1.4 million jobs in March 2020 and a staggering 20.5 million jobs in April, creating a 22 million jobs deficit since the start of the recession and largely erasing the gains from a decade of job growth.

What jobs were most affected by COVID-19? ›

While the job losses were widespread, they were greatest in industries that involve people (employees, customers, or both) coming in close contact. The leisure and hospitality industry suffered the greatest job losses, but every major industry lost jobs over the year. (See charts 2 and 3.)

What did the government do to help businesses during COVID? ›

California Rebuilding Fund

This program provides loans of up to $100,000 or 100 percent of a business' average monthly revenues for three months prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, whichever amount is lower.

What is the biggest impact of COVID? ›

The COVID-19 pandemic killed nearly 16 million people worldwide in 2020 and 2021 and caused global life expectancy to decline by 1.6 years between 2019 and 2020.

What are the bad effects of COVID-19? ›

Heart symptoms or conditions, including chest pain and fast or pounding heartbeat. Digestive symptoms, including diarrhea and stomach pain. Blood clots and blood vessel (vascular) issues, including a blood clot that travels to the lungs from deep veins in the legs and blocks blood flow to the lungs (pulmonary embolism)

How did COVID affect people's health? ›

Worldwide surveys done in 2020 and 2021 found higher than typical levels of stress, insomnia, anxiety and depression. By 2022, levels had lowered but were still higher than before 2020. Though feelings of distress about COVID-19 may come and go, they are still an issue for many people.

How is the restaurant industry doing? ›

Sales are up: The foodservice industry is forecast to reach $1 trillion in sales in 2024. Restaurants are hiring: The industry workforce is projected to grow by 200,000 jobs, for total industry employment of 15.7M by the end of 2024. 45% of operators need more employees to meet customer demand.

When did COVID start? ›

In 2020, life changed across the globe. Though initially discovered in Wuhan, China, in late 2019, COVID-19 entered the conversation in the U.S. in January 2020, when the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) alerted the nation of the outbreak abroad.

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