How to Determine Market Opportunity - Startup Funding Advice (2024)

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Many entrepreneurs find it difficult to determine what exactly their market opportunity is; finding the right statistics for your industry can be challenging but once you know what to look for, finding data becomes much easier.

The following are types of statistics that should be used when determining your market opportunity.

Market Size

It is important to use relevant statistics when talking about your market size. Often times I hear entrepreneurs make the statement, “If I don’t show a huge market size investors won’t be interested.” This statement is valid, but only to a certain extent. Ideally, investors would like to see you in an industry with a lot of potential but they are also able to see right through any B.S.

Let’s take a look at an example, if you are selling wiper blades for vehicles, stating that the U.S. auto sales market was $570 billion in 2015 is a bit too broad. Instead try saying the U.S. aftermarket parts are a $62 billion industry. Finding a statistic about how much Americans spent on windshield wipers would be even better.

Finding the relevant statistics you need about your industry is going to take some time and effort, but finding the right statistics can make a world of difference to investors.

Key Metrics

A key metric can be anything related to your industry. Determine what statistic or piece of information investors would be most interested in knowing about your industry. Keep in mind that information needs to be relevant.

Industry Growth Rate

How fast is your industry growing? Try comparing it to the growth rate of a similar industry to provide prospective. For example, the market for the energy drink industry is growing at 6% a year vs. the entire carbonated soft drink category is only growing at 3% per year. On its own a 6% growth doesn’t sound too impressive, but when you can show that it’s growing twice as fast as a similar industry that growth seems more substantial.

Sources for Market Information

So where do you go to retrieve all of these statistics? You might have already tried to search for your market size on Google and found that nothing popped up. If you are in a niche industry a majority of the data might not be publically available in an obvious fashion.

There are a few key steps I like to follow when looking for the necessary statistics.

Step 1

When looking for market data, the first step I take is figuring out the NAICS industry code for the category I’m researching. NAICS stands for North American Industry Classification System, which is used by the U.S. Census to categorize your industry. You will be amazed by the amount relevant information this site has to offer; to start you search head over to Census.gov. It’s going to take some time and effort to find exactly what you are looking for and you may have to dig through some complex spread sheets, but I assure you most of the data you need is there. The U.S. Small Business Administration, SBS.gov, is another great resource to use when looking for relevant statistics.

Step 2

The second step I suggest taking when looking for market data is googling competitors in your industry. Many times companies will issue press releases that contain the market size and growth rates of their industry. This is especially easy to find if your competitors are publicly traded companies. Take a look at finance.yahoo.com if there are any public companies in your industry. All the financials of publicly traded companies are available on this site under the financial statement section.

If you are willing to pay for this information there are a few companies that offer full industry analysis reports, but they are often pretty expensive. If you decide to go this route a couple good options are Hoovers or IbisWorld.

Step 3

If you still haven’t been able to find any information that is relevant to your niche industry, try doing a web traffic analysis. By doing this you can determine how much traffic your competitors are getting on their web page each day, this can often be great information for you to know regardless.

There are hundreds of SEO tools available for tracking web traffic but a good starting point is Alexa. Another component to look at is the key words people are typing in to find your competitors, this will give insights on potential customers. Lastly, viewing the social media pages of your competitors is a great way to see just how lively the industry is.

Taking these steps into consideration when determining your market opportunity can make the process easier and provide you with some great information. Having relevant data to back up your market opportunity claims will leave you looking much more credible in the eyes of potential investors.

Other advice for startups seeking funding:

An Investor’s Take on SaaS KPIs Essential for Investment-Worthy StartupsUnderstanding Liquidation Preferences in Venture FinancingsThe Do's and Don'ts When it Comes to Approaching VCsAct Local, Scale Global: Early Stage International Expansion as a Strategy for Startup Success

Jake Fisher

Jake Fisher is the founding partner at Venture Formations. Jake serves as a startup advisor helping entrepreneurs through the funding process. On Twitter @VentureJakeF

How to Determine Market Opportunity - Startup Funding Advice (2024)

FAQs

How to Determine Market Opportunity - Startup Funding Advice? ›

Assessing a startup's market potential for venture capitalists involves key factors: - Market Size (TAM): Total customer base. - Market Growth: How fast it's expanding. - Competition: Number and strength. - Product-Market Fit: Solves real problems.

What are market opportunities for startups? ›

How canmarket opportunity help a startup succeed? A market opportunity is an untapped potential to sell a product or service to a new group of customers or to sell more of a product or service to existing customers. A market opportunity can be based on a new technology, a new customer need, or a new trend.

How do you find market opportunities? ›

How to identify and analyze market opportunities
  1. Define your objective.
  2. Identify your target market and users.
  3. Gather market data.
  4. Analyze competitors.
  5. Understand user needs.
  6. Uncover market gaps.
  7. Evaluate technological trends in the market.
  8. Assess market viability.
Jul 13, 2023

What is a good TAM for a VC? ›

Venture capitalists want the largest possible upside given the risk involved in their investment, especially at the pre-seed and seed stages. While VCs do not have a specific number, a good thumb-rule is a TAM over $1B.

How are market opportunities evaluated? ›

A market opportunity assessment is the process of synthesising bespoke research and client data to identify opportunities for growth in a specific market or business area and formulate an actionable strategy to realise this growth. Opportunities come in many different shapes and sizes.

What is an example of a market opportunity? ›

Market opportunities are macro-level trends, situations, and experiences that open up a new category or lead to an increase in demand for a new product. For example, the rising popularity of social media led to a rise in demand for social media scheduling tools.

What is a market based opportunity? ›

A market opportunity is the existence of a need that is not being met or a desire that is not being fulfilled.

How do you calculate market opportunities? ›

How to estimate the potential market? The following formula is used to calculate the potential market: Q= n x p x q. In this formula, 'n' is the number of buyers, 'p' is the average price of that product or service and 'q' is the average per capita consumption.

How do entrepreneurs recognize market opportunities? ›

There are various ways in which entrepreneurs can identify or discover entrepreneurial opportunities. These ways include solving a problem, observing trends and identifying gaps in the market. Solving personal problems or other people's problems is one way of identifying an entrepreneurial opportunity.

How do you identify target market opportunities? ›

Let's find out:
  1. Analyze your product or service and current customer base. Start by performing a target market analysis, which is just analyzing your product or service while taking a deeper look at your customers. ...
  2. Perform your competitor analysis. ...
  3. Complete market research.

What is the minimum TAM for a startup? ›

The general rule of thumb (for investors) is a TAM of at least $1B USD. The key is to find a TAM that is aligned to your business model, not just your target market.

How to do market sizing for startups? ›

How to Calculate Market Size
  1. Start with your total addressable market.
  2. Find a group of customers to focus on within that target market.
  3. Figure out how many of those customers are likely to buy your product.
  4. Multiply that customer number by estimated penetration rate.
Sep 21, 2023

What is an attractive TAM? ›

The Significance of Total Addressable Market in Finance

Investors use TAM to determine the potential return on investment (ROI). A larger TAM indicates a bigger opportunity for growth and higher ROI, making it an attractive investment.

How to find market opportunities? ›

Eight analysis types to identify market opportunities
  1. Consumer segmentation and behaviour analysis. ...
  2. Purchase situation analysis. ...
  3. Direct competitor analysis. ...
  4. Indirect competitor analysis. ...
  5. Complementary product and service analysis. ...
  6. Diversification analysis. ...
  7. Foreign market analysis. ...
  8. Environmental analysis.
Mar 28, 2024

What is the best tool in identifying market opportunities? ›

What are the best tools and methods for identifying market opportunities and threats?
  • SWOT analysis.
  • PESTLE analysis.
  • Porter's five forces analysis.
  • Market segmentation and targeting.
  • Customer feedback and analysis.
Mar 8, 2023

What are the 3 ways to evaluate an opportunity? ›

Using this method, you'll look at opportunities through the following three lenses:
  • Financial opportunity.
  • Skills and experience.
  • Passion and motivation.

What are new market opportunities? ›

A new market opportunity refers to a previously untapped customer segment, underserved consumer need, geographical region, product innovation, or other business growth possibilities. Essentially, it's an area of potential expansion or diversification that could profitably add to your existing operations if pursued.

What is a market opportunity for a new product? ›

“Market opportunity” is defined as a need or demand in a market that a company can capitalize on by introducing a new product or service. You should be able to express market opportunity in terms of numbers, not just by describing trends.

What is startup opportunity? ›

Finding startup opportunities can be challenging, but also rewarding. Startups are innovative ventures that aim to solve a problem, create value, or disrupt an industry. They often operate in uncertain and competitive markets, and require a combination of creativity, resilience, and execution.

What is the market opportunity of a business? ›

A market opportunity is a newly identified need that a company can use to grow; usually, because it's not being addressed by competitors…

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