A new study published yesterday in The Lancet journal has predicted that India, Nigeria, China and the United States (U.S.) will be dominant global powers by the year 2100.
The publication’s Editor-in-Chief, Dr. Richard Horton, said: “This research charts a future we need to be planning for urgently. It offers a vision for radical shifts in geopolitical power, challenges myths about immigration, and underlines the importance of protecting and strengthening the sexual and reproductive rights of women.
“The 21st century will see a revolution in the story of our human civilisation. Africa and the Arab World will shape our future, while Europe and Asia will recede in their influence. By the end of the century, the world will be multipolar, with India, Nigeria, China, and the US the dominant powers. This will truly be a new world and one we should be preparing for today.”
Researchers from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington’s School of Medicine, Seattle, in the U.S., said Sub-Saharan Africa would likely become an increasingly powerful continent on the geopolitical stage as its population rises.
“Nigeria is projected to be among the world’s 10 most populated nations to see its working-age population grow in the century (from 86m in 2017 to 458m in 2100), supporting rapid economic growth and its rise in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rankings from 23rd position in 2017 to 9th in 2100,” it noted.
In the study partly funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the researchers discovered improvements in access to modern contraception, while the education of girls and women are generating widespread, sustained decline in fertility.
It added that world population would peak in 2064 at around 9.7b and then decline to about 8.8b by 2100- about two billion lower than some previous estimates.
However, China’s population was projected to decline by 48 per cent as findings also suggested a shift in age structure in most parts of the world with 2·37b (1·91–2·87) persons older than 65 years and 1·70b (1·11–2·81) individuals younger than 20 years, forecasted globally in 2100.
Latest data as at July 1, 2020, from the U.S. Census Bureau put Nigeria’s population at 214m, while China and the United States are 1.4b and 330m respectively.
“In the reference scenario, the global population will peak in 2064 at 9·73b (8·84–10·9) people and decline to 8·79b (6·83–11·8) by 2100,” the study added.
FAQs
A new study published yesterday in The Lancet journal has predicted that India, Nigeria, China and the United States (U.S.) will be dominant global powers by the year 2100. The publication's Editor-in-Chief, Dr. Richard Horton, said: “This research charts a future we need to be planning for urgently.
Who will dominate the world in 2100? ›
According to the forecast by Fathom Consulting, Asian economies such as China and India are expected to lead the global economy with the highest GDP share. The report forecasts China to have a share of 22.68% and reach $101 trillion by 2100.
How will India's economy be compared to China in 2100? ›
First, China's GDP never gets much bigger than that of the US and eventually falls back behind. By 2100 the US's GDP is 45% bigger than China's. Second, India emerges as the third and eventually the biggest economic superpower, with GDP by 2100 90% larger than China's and 30% larger than that of the US.
What is the GDP prediction for 2100? ›
Global GDP is projected to be $450 trillion by 2100 year compared to present $ 100 trillion now. Global GDP was $ 25 trillions in 1950. Huge wealth to the tune of an additional $ 350 trillions is being created in the next 75 years.
What will the US look like in 2100? ›
The Census Bureau projects America's population to grow older and more diverse by the end of the 21st century, with immigration and fertility rates driving most changes through 2100. The Census also projects immigration will be the largest driver of population growth through the rest of the century.
Which country will dominate the world? ›
Top 10 powerful countries in the world 2024
| Power Rank & Country | GDP | Population* |
|---|
| #1 United States | $28.78 trillion | 339.9 million |
| #2 China | $18.53 trillion | 1.42 billion |
| #3 Russia | $2.06 trillion | 144 million |
| #4 Germany | $4.59 trillion | 83.2 million |
6 more rowsMay 2, 2024
India's economy 16.5 years behind China's, says Bernstein research report | Economy & Policy News - Business Standard.
Who will be the richest country in 2030? ›
China in fact, considered by many to become the biggest economy in the world by 2030, has had a fast growing economy over the last few decades, but its fortunes seem to have turned post Covid-19.
Is China more advanced than India? ›
China, with its massive investments in R&D and an extensive network of innovation clusters, seems to be more advanced in these areas than India. Nevertheless, both countries are making significant strides and growth in innovation.
Which country will be the most powerful in 2100? ›
Projections by countries
| Rank | Country | 2100 |
|---|
| 1 | India | 1 533 400 |
| 2 | China | 771 301 |
| 3 | United States of America | 393 993 |
| 4 | Nigeria | 545 706 |
47 more rowsProfiles of Prosperity: Seven of the Richest Countries in the World***
- Monaco. In terms of sheer GDP per capita, Monaco's value of $234,317 USD for the year 2021 stands far above that of any other country. ...
- Liechtenstein. ...
- Luxembourg. ...
- Ireland. ...
- Switzerland. ...
- Norway. ...
- United States of America. ...
- The 10 Richest Countries by Total GDP.
The United States upholds its status as the major global economy and richest country, steadfastly preserving its pinnacle position from 1960 to 2023. Its economy boasts remarkable diversity, propelled by important sectors, including services, manufacturing, finance, and technology.
What will be the biggest country in 2100? ›
Most populous nations by 2050 and 2100
| Country | Population (millions) | Rank |
|---|
| 2020 | 2100 |
|---|
| China | 1,424 | 2 |
| India | 1,390 | 1 |
| United States | 336 | 6 |
15 more rowsRising Temperatures and Sea Levels
Expect them to be the norm by 2100. Due to greenhouse gas emissions, global temperatures are on the rise. And with them, sea levels are predicted to increase, possibly by more than a meter.
Who will be world leader in 2050? ›
China, India, and the United States will emerge as the world's three largest economies in 2050, with a total real U.S. dollar GDP of 70 percent more than the GDP of all the other G20 countries combined. In China and India alone, GDP is predicted to increase by nearly $60 trillion, the current size of the world economy.
How will Earth be in 3000? ›
Nine hundred and seventy-seven years from now, in the year 3000 CE, our civilization and Earth will almost be unrecognizable to us in the present. We will be re-engineered as well as our planet. From there we will master the Solar System and beyond making the leaps to Type 3, 4, 5 and beyond.
