Martin Lewis gives mortgage warning to home buyers as interest rates set to soar (2024)

MARTIN Lewis has issued a warning to home buyers after interest rates are predicted to soar to 6% next year.

The consumer champion was answering questions about the housing market on Good Morning Britain (GMB) earlier today.

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And the Money Saving Expert website founder suggested first-time buyers shouldn't buy a house now - unless they are fully prepared.

He said: "If you've got a decent deposit, and you've found a house that you love, and you've got a mortgage that is affordable for you, and you're going to stay in that property for a long time, get on with it, buy your house.

"If you're doing this because 'this isn't the house that I want, but I feel I should do it before everything goes wrong and it all goes belly up', don't buy your house."

The consumer champion went on to explain that it's hard to predict what will happen with the housing market at the minute because there are "so many variables and it's incredibly complex right now."

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He said: "There are no firm right answers and I apologise if you play this back in two years time and I'm totally wrong. That's possible."

It comes as hundreds of mortgage deals were pulled from the market last week over uncertainty at where interest rates are heading.

The current Bank of England base interest rate sits at 2.25%, after it was increased in September.

But that could hit 6% next year, experts have warned.

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That rate affects how much banks charge for borrowing including mortgages, loans and credit cards.

With rates expected to go up, lenders pulled their deals as they were unsure how to price them.

House prices could be hit as higher borrowing rates are expected to make it harder for people to buy a home.

Economists warned that house prices could fall as much as 15% if interest rates do hit 6%.

Martin said: "We are in the period for the first time I can remember in recent times where the majority of commentators are talking about a correction, in other words prices coming down on houses.

"So there is a risk by buying now you're locking yourself into a high mortgage on a high house price.

"And, of course, most first-time buyers don't have much deposit, so it's a big loan-to-value and the house prices may well come down and you may regret it later."

Because mortgage rates are rising, buyers face higher monthly repayments than when rates were lower.

A mortgage broker can help you work out the best mortgage deal for your circ*mstances and what you can afford to borrow.

The government slashed stamp duty in the mini Budget to help home buyers.

First-time buyers stand to save up to £6,250 and those already on the property ladder up to £2,500 compared to the previous rates.

Rising mortgage costs

Martin criticised the Treasury's claims that the saving could be higher when taking into account what has happened to mortgage rates.

A Treasury post on Twitter said that a typical first-time buyer in London moving into a representative terraced house will save £11,250 on stamp duty.

But Mr Lewis, interviewing chief secretary to the Treasury Chris Philp on the programme, said: "Now, on my calculations, to save £11,250 on stamp duty you have to be buying a house as a first-time buyer of £500,000 or more.

"The cheapest fixed-rate mortgage on a £500,000 property with a 10% deposit leaves you with payments of £2,400 a month, which is £28,000 a year.

"But your example is for somebody who earns £30,000 a year. Clearly, they would not get that mortgage. And clearly on £30,000 a year before tax you cannot pay a mortgage of £28,000 a year.

He added that it was "fundamentally irresponsible for the Treasury to be putting out this kind of statement in the middle of a cost-of-living crisis."

Mr Philp speculated that they were likely illustrating "the income tax saving of someone on approximately medium earnings".

He said: "You are right to point out that someone on that particular level of earnings would be unlikely to be able to get a mortgage to fund a £500,000 house, unless, of course, they were doing so with a partner, but I suspect that's why they did it."

You can figure out how much you might save on stamp duty by using our calculator.

How can you get the best deal on your mortgage?

If you're set on the idea of re-mortgaging or looking to buy your first home now, there are some tips you can use to help.

Greg Cunnington, from mortgage broker LDN Finance, previously told The Sun shopping around was one way to get the best deal.

Different lenders have different lending criteria so some might let you borrow more than others.

So if you know what's out there, it will help you to make the best-informed decision.

If you don't want to shop around, you can always use a mortgage broker.

A mortgage broker is a person or company that acts as the middle person between the buyer and the mortgage lender.

Mortgage brokers have become more popular in recent years as the housing market becomes more competitive.

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If you're willing to, you can fix your mortgage for longer as well.

Some lenders let you borrow more if you fix for a longer period, and with rates predicted to reach around 6% next year, fixing now could save you money in the coming years.

Martin Lewis gives mortgage warning to home buyers as interest rates set to soar (2024)

FAQs

Why are mortgage rates soaring? ›

Those rate hikes were implemented with the goal of tempering an inflation spike. Mortgage rates moved up as the Fed bumped the target fed funds rate higher. The Fed projected rate cuts to begin in 2024. However, lingering inflation, still above 3%, has tempered rate cut expectations for now.

Does it make sense to buy a house with high interest rates? ›

Pros. Home prices and interest rates could keep rising, so while rates are higher than they were a few years ago, you might get a better deal now than if you wait. With fewer buyers shopping right now due to higher costs of borrowing, you might have more negotiating power.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? ›

Therefore, homebuyers who are waiting for a better deal may be disappointed and miss out on other opportunities in the housing market. In summary, it is unlikely that mortgage rates in the US will ever reach 3% again, at least not in the foreseeable future.

Will mortgage rates drop in 2024? ›

So far this year, inflation hasn't slowed as much as expected, keeping mortgage rates high. But as the economy continues to normalize throughout 2024 and 2025, rates should slowly trend down. In the near term, borrowers should expect rates to stay near their current levels.

Who controls mortgage rates? ›

The Fed controls short-term interest rates by increasing them or decreasing them based on the state of the economy. While mortgage rates aren't directly tied to the Fed rates, when the Fed rate changes, the prime rate for mortgages usually follows suit shortly afterward.

What is a good mortgage rate for 30 year fixed? ›

Today's 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
ProductTodayLast Week
30 Year Fixed Average6.62%6.55%
Conforming6.81%6.73%
FHA5.98%5.96%
Jumbo4.00%4.02%
4 more rows

Will interest rates ever go back to 4%? ›

If those projections remain and the Fed begins to lower its key rate, mortgage rates will presumably follow suit. Sunbury predicts the Fed will cut rates by between 100 to 125 basis points starting in May or June of 2024. “This would bring the policy rate to 4% to 4.25%,” Sunbury explains.

How many years will mortgage rates stay high? ›

But until the Fed sees evidence of slowing economic growth, interest rates will stay higher for longer. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by the end of 2025.

What will interest rates look like in 5 years? ›

ING's interest rate predictions indicate 2024 rates starting at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter. Then, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.

How high could mortgage rates go by 2025? ›

By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo's model expects 5.8%, and the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates 5.5%.

Will 2024 be a better time to buy a house? ›

Mortgage rates are expected to come down in 2024, and inventory and home sales are likely to increase. Homebuyers and sellers can also expect prices to continue to rise, albeit at a slower clip than the past couple of years.

Where will mortgage rates be in 2026? ›

Inflation, the Federal Reserve's policies, and global economic conditions all intricately intertwine to influence mortgage rates. While Long Forecast's prediction of a potential drop to 4.87% by January 2026 is certainly enticing, it's wise to remember that economic forecasting is not an exact science.

Why is my mortgage interest rate so high? ›

Mortgage rates are affected by market factors like inflation, the cost of borrowing, bond yields and risk. Mortgage rates are also affected by personal financial factors, such as your down payment, income, assets and credit history.

Why did my mortgage go up if I have a fixed rate? ›

The benefit of a fixed-rate mortgage is that your interest rate stays consistent. But your monthly mortgage bill can still change — in fact, it generally fluctuates at least a little bit every year. Rising home values and insurance premiums have caused unusually dramatic increases for some homeowners in recent years.

Will mortgage rates come down? ›

The mortgage rate forecast for 2024 is that rates are expected to go down, although it may take longer than had previously been hoped. In June 2024, we're seeing a mixed picture with the best mortgage rates on fixed rate mortgages; some are nudging up while others are being trimmed.

Why are interest rates so high right now? ›

When the Prime Rate is high, borrowing money is more expensive. This causes increased interest rates and lower spending. This also effectively lowers inflation. This is why the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in 2022, to fight rising inflation.

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