Target flashes a recession warning: Shoppers are buying fewer clothes and more necessities | CNN Business (2024)

Target flashes a recession warning: Shoppers are buying fewer clothes and more necessities | CNN Business (1)

Target said customers are pulling back.

New York CNN

Shoppers are pulling back at Target, Home Depot and other major chains as they face pressure from higher prices and borrowing costs.

Target’s total sales ticked up 0.5% during its latest quarter from a year ago, the company said Wednesday. But digital sales fell, and the company said shoppers pulled back on discretionary purchases in what CEO Brian Cornell called a “very challenging environment” for consumers.

Target’s (TGT) sales at stores open for at least one year increased 0.7%, and the company said customers were spending more on food and essentials. Profit fell 5.8% in the quarter.

Target said sales of clothing, home goods and other discretionary categories dropped by up to low double-digits, while food and beverage sales increased by high single digits.

“We continue to face elevated volatility and see a reprioritization of spending away from discretionary categories in the face of persistent inflation in groceries and essentials,” Target chief growth officer Christina Hennington said on a call with analysts.

Target is the latest retailer to say shoppers pulled back on items like clothing and home goods and shifted to groceries and necessities. Lower and middle-income consumers have been squeezed the most by rising prices.

The real reasons stores such as Walmart and Starbucks are closing in big cities

Neil Saunders, a retail analyst at GlobalData, said this was hurting Target because the chain relies on impulse purchases and shoppers filling their carts with items that catch their eye as they browse stores.

“The carefree shopping trip has been replaced by more focused missions where people set budgets and are less willing to deviate from them,” he said in a note to clients.

Theft is growing

Target also warned that losses, driven by shoplifting and organized retail crime, will reduce its profitability by more than $500 million this year compared with a year ago.

Retailers in some areas of the country have said petty shoplifting, as well as organized groups stealing merchandise and reselling it online, have hurt their businesses. Target and other chains have locked products up to deter shoplifting.

But Target is one of the few chains to put an estimate on its losses, known in retail as “shrink.” Shrink also comes from employee theft, miscanned products and other errors.

Retail shrink hit $94.5 billion in 2021, a 53% jump from 2019, according to the National Retail Federation’s annual survey of around 60 retail member companies.

But the impact of shoplifting on retail losses may have been overstated in some cases.

Walgreens said it saw a spike in losses during the pandemic and cited organized retail crime in its decision to close five San Francisco stores in 2021. But it recently backtracked.

“Maybe we cried too much last year” about shrink numbers, a Walgreens executive said in January.

Target’s stock rose 3% during morning trading Wednesday.

As someone deeply entrenched in the world of retail analysis and trends, it's evident that the challenges faced by major chains like Target are part of a broader narrative unfolding in the retail landscape. My comprehensive understanding of the intricacies of the retail industry positions me to shed light on the factors influencing Target's recent developments.

The reported 0.5% increase in Target's total sales during the latest quarter compared to a year ago may seem modest on the surface, but my expertise allows me to decipher the underlying dynamics. The decline in digital sales coupled with a pullback in discretionary purchases reflects a nuanced consumer behavior shift. Target's CEO, Brian Cornell, aptly describes the current climate as a "very challenging environment" for consumers.

The breakdown of Target's sales by category provides valuable insights into consumer preferences and spending patterns. The increase in sales of food and essentials, juxtaposed with a significant drop in discretionary categories such as clothing and home goods, underscores a notable change in consumer priorities. This aligns with a broader trend observed across the retail landscape where consumers are reallocating spending towards necessities amidst higher prices and borrowing costs.

Christina Hennington, Target's chief growth officer, points out the impact of persistent inflation on consumer behavior. This aligns with my broader understanding of economic factors influencing retail, where inflation in groceries and essentials prompts a reprioritization of spending among consumers.

The expertise I bring to the table also extends to the challenges faced by retailers in the current landscape. Neil Saunders, a retail analyst at GlobalData, highlights how the shift in consumer behavior is affecting Target's business model, particularly its reliance on impulse purchases. The shift from "carefree shopping trips" to more focused, budget-conscious missions has consequences for retailers like Target, forcing them to adapt to changing consumer dynamics.

Furthermore, my depth of knowledge extends to the issue of shrink, a significant concern for retailers. Target's acknowledgment of over $500 million in reduced profitability due to losses from shoplifting and organized retail crime is a crucial detail. This aligns with broader trends in the industry, where retailers are grappling with the impact of theft on their bottom line. The insight into "shrink" and the measures taken by Target, such as locking up products, resonates with my understanding of how retailers are adapting to mitigate losses.

In conclusion, my expertise in retail analysis allows me to dissect the intricacies of Target's recent performance. The nuanced interplay of consumer behavior, economic factors, and operational challenges provides a comprehensive picture of the current state of the retail industry, making me well-equipped to navigate and articulate the complexities inherent in these developments.

Target flashes a recession warning: Shoppers are buying fewer clothes and more necessities | CNN Business (2024)
Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Rueben Jacobs

Last Updated:

Views: 5502

Rating: 4.7 / 5 (77 voted)

Reviews: 92% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Rueben Jacobs

Birthday: 1999-03-14

Address: 951 Caterina Walk, Schambergerside, CA 67667-0896

Phone: +6881806848632

Job: Internal Education Planner

Hobby: Candle making, Cabaret, Poi, Gambling, Rock climbing, Wood carving, Computer programming

Introduction: My name is Rueben Jacobs, I am a cooperative, beautiful, kind, comfortable, glamorous, open, magnificent person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.