Technical Analysis: pros and cons of MACD | Forex4you (2024)

Reading time: 3 minutes

Technical Analysis: pros and cons of MACD | Forex4you (3)

Excerpt: Do you use the momentum indicator, MACD for your technical analysis? Here are the basics that you should know, along with the pros and cons of this indicator.

The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is a momentum indicator that follows the trend. This indicator is made available for traders trading with Forex4you. This indicator is made up of a MACD line and a signal line. The MACD line is derived by the subtraction of a certain EMA period from another. The image below shows a 13,21,8 MACD.

The first is the fast 13 period EMA and then the slow 21 period EMA. The MACD line (shown as the grey histogram) is automatically plotted. It can be calculated by subtracting the slow EMA from the fast EMA. The third MA - 8 period SMA (simple moving average) is plotted across the grey histogram. It is shown by the red dotted line and is usually called the signal line. The basis of the combination is to give a buy and sell signal on any instrument it is plotted and on any time frame. The MACD automatically adjusts to a new time frame. The settings on the MT4 can be changed. The default setting on MT4 is 12,26,9.

What information does the MACD give?

Indicators are mathematical computations and each often tells a different story. The MACD shows a positive value once the fast EMA is above the slow EMA and a negative value, if the slow EMA is above the fast EMA. The MACD has a baseline of zero on Mt4. The farther the MACD is above or below the zero line, the more distant the two EMAs are from each other. This indicates a growing price trend. When the MACD draws close to zero, it shows a weakness in the prevailing trend. Primarily, if the MACD stays above zero, the trend is bullish while below zero indicates a bearish trend. The longer the MACD stays above or below the zero line, the more prevalent the trend.

Technical Analysis: pros and cons of MACD | Forex4you (5)

The trend above is bullish on the 15 mins time frame. The MACD stayed above with dips toward the zero line, which showed minor weaknesses. The bullish trend prevailed as MACD quickly returned above the zero line to expand further. The bearish trend will start if the price drops far below the zero line and extends its stay there.

1. MACD crossovers

This is one of the most popular ways of MACD application. In an uptrend (when the signal line and MACD are above the zero line), if the signal line crosses below the MACD histogram, it means the prevailing trend will be weak. However, after the weakness, the signal line crosses above the MACD, it indicates a bullish trend continuation. In a downtrend (when the MACD and the signal line are below the zero line), if the signal line crosses the MACD upwards, it indicates bearish trend weakness. If after the weakness, the signal line crosses the MACD downwards, it indicates bearish trend continuation.

Technical Analysis: pros and cons of MACD | Forex4you (6)

The blue arrows on the price indicate buy signals. Buying into the bullish trend. The same principle applies to the downtrend

2. Price-MACD divergence

When the MACD makes a high and low that diverge from the corresponding highs and lows on the price, this scenario is called a divergence.

Technical Analysis: pros and cons of MACD | Forex4you (7)

A bearish divergence forms a higher high on the price and a lower high on the MACD. Bearish divergence gives a sell signal. A bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low while the MACD makes a higher low. This indicates a buy signal.

Pros and Cons of using MACD

Pros

  • MACD can be used as a trend indicator and a momentum indicator.

  • MACD provides clear buy and sell signals using the MACD crossover and the divergence explained above

  • MACD can be used in combination with other technical methods for more clarity.

Cons

  • It can provide false reversals. Sometimes reversal signals shown by the MACD divergence does not mean a significant reversal would happen. It could mean that a temporary pause or sideways move is underway before the trend continues. Therefore, MACD cannot forecast all reversals.

  • MACD does not often give an accurate analysis of a trend many times. Trend following signals could also fail or provide insignificant move before a trend reversal.

In other news…

Trading for Beginners: How to Avoid Common Mistakes

Sustainable side hustles: eco-friendly ways to boost your income

Is work life balance important in forex?

A Comprehensive Guide to CFD Trading for Beginners: Exploring Opportunities with Forex4you

Forex Day Trading Strategies

How to Manage Risk in Forex Trading

3 Tips to Understanding The Psychology Of Trading

Technical Analysis: pros and cons of MACD | Forex4you (2024)

FAQs

What are the advantages and disadvantages of MACD? ›

Advantages and disadvantages

One of the biggest advantages of the MACD is that it's both a trend and momentum indicator. However, like all other technical indicators, the MACD isn't perfect. Its main flaw is that it gives the signals later than the price action itself.

Is MACD enough for trading? ›

As a versatile trading tool that can reveal price momentum, the MACD is also useful in the identification of price trends and direction. The MACD indicator has enough strength to stand alone, but its predictive function is not absolute. Used with another indicator, the MACD can really ramp up the trader's advantage.

What is the major flaw of MACD? ›

It can provide false reversals. Sometimes reversal signals shown by the MACD divergence does not mean a significant reversal would happen. It could mean that a temporary pause or sideways move is underway before the trend continues. Therefore, MACD cannot forecast all reversals.

Do professional traders use MACD? ›

MACD is used by technical traders in stock, bond, commodities, and FX markets. Some MACD strategies include the histogram, the crossover, the zero-cross, the money flow index, and the relative vigor index. One of the biggest risks of the MACD is that a reversal signal can be a false indicator.

What are the advantages of MACD? ›

It can help you identify trends, momentum, reversals, and trading signals in any market and time frame. In this article, you will learn what MACD is, how it is calculated, and what are the benefits of using it in your technical analysis.

What are the benefits of MACD? ›

MACD is a technical indicator designed to help investors identify price trends, measure trend momentum, and identify acceleration points to fine-tune market entry timing (whether you're buying or selling).

Is there a better indicator than MACD? ›

The Schaff Trend Cycle (STC) is a technical analysis indicator used in trading and investing to identify trends and generate trading signals. The STC indicator helps to identify trends in a smoother and more responsive manner compared to traditional MAs and even under certain parameters, the MACD.

What is the success rate of MACD trading? ›

MACD with PRC has a 90% success rate. A stock's moving averages should at least approach one another, if not cross, before you act on that stock. MACDs rely on three exponential moving averages instead of one or two. Look for patterns where the three moving averages come together closely.

How to use MACD effectively? ›

The strategy is to buy – or close a short position – when the MACD crosses above the zero line, and sell – or close a long position – when the MACD crosses below the zero line. This method should be used carefully, as the delayed nature means that fast, choppy markets would often see the signals issued too late.

Which is more accurate RSI or MACD? ›

When it comes to strengths and weaknesses, MACD is a momentum indicator that is better at identifying trend reversals. On the other hand, RSI is better at identifying overbought or oversold conditions. However, combining both indicators can provide a more comprehensive view of the market.

Why is MACD important in technical analysis? ›

MACD is a momentum indicator, which follows trends and belongs to the oscillator family of technical indicators. It permits you to: According to the relationship between two moving averages, determine the current trend direction (bullish or bearish) and forecast where the price is more likely to go.

What is the optimal MACD setting? ›

The Best MACD Settings for 1-Hour Chart

For an hourly chart, stick with the default MACD settings of 12, 26, 9. Monitor the signals generated by different MACD settings when trading on a 1-hour chart to optimize your strategy. It gives you a good view of the market momentum and trend within the day.

What indicator do most traders use? ›

10 most popular indicators for trading
  • Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ...
  • Stochastic Oscillator. ...
  • Bollinger Bands. ...
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI) ...
  • Fibonacci Retracement. ...
  • Standard Deviation. ...
  • Ichimoku Cloud. ...
  • Client Sentiment. IG client sentiment provides insights into the positioning of traders in a specific market.

How to avoid MACD false signals? ›

A third way to avoid false signals is to apply indicators and oscillators to the chart patterns and trends. Indicators and oscillators are mathematical calculations that use price and volume data to generate signals and measure the momentum, direction, and strength of the market.

How to trade MACD like a pro? ›

The strategy is to buy – or close a short position – when the MACD crosses above the zero line, and sell – or close a long position – when the MACD crosses below the zero line. This method should be used carefully, as the delayed nature means that fast, choppy markets would often see the signals issued too late.

Is MACD a reliable indicator? ›

This makes it accessible to both novice and experienced traders and allows for easier interpretation and confirmation. For this reason, many consider it among the most efficient and reliable technical tools. Though it is not useful for intraday trading, the MACD can be applied to daily, weekly, or monthly price charts.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Madonna Wisozk

Last Updated:

Views: 5741

Rating: 4.8 / 5 (48 voted)

Reviews: 95% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Madonna Wisozk

Birthday: 2001-02-23

Address: 656 Gerhold Summit, Sidneyberg, FL 78179-2512

Phone: +6742282696652

Job: Customer Banking Liaison

Hobby: Flower arranging, Yo-yoing, Tai chi, Rowing, Macrame, Urban exploration, Knife making

Introduction: My name is Madonna Wisozk, I am a attractive, healthy, thoughtful, faithful, open, vivacious, zany person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.