WMTStock | USD154.801.090.71% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Walmart is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Walmart buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Walmart positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Walmart's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Osisko Gold Ro's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 168.72 | Target Price 180.02 | Hype Value 154.84 | Market Value 154.8 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Walmart given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Walmart. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Walmart, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Walmart |
Check out Walmart Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Walmart Stock please use our How to Invest in Walmart guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Walmart and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Walmart. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Execute Walmart Buy or Sell Advice
The Walmart recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Walmart. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Walmart or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Walmart's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Execute Advice
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Walmart has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), Jensen Alpha of (0.11), Total Risk Alpha of (0.20) and Treynor Ratio of (0.24)
Macroaxis provides trade recommendation on Walmart to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Walmart. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Walmart is not overpriced, please check out all Walmart fundamentals, including its revenue, earnings per share, annual yield, as well as the relationship between the total debt and total asset . Given that Walmart has a price to book of 5.21X, we strongly advise you to confirm Walmart market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevalent risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Walmart Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Walmart generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
The company has 58.92B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.81, which is OK given its current industry classification. Walmart has a current ratio of 0.85, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Walmart until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Walmart's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Walmart sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Walmart to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Walmart's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
About 47.0% of Walmart outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Walmart Inc. Shares Sold by AdvisorNet Financial Inc |
Walmart Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Walmart's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Walmart's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Walmart stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Walmart price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Walmart returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Walmart.
Mean Return | -0.07 | Value At Risk | -1.61 | Potential Upside | 1.40 | Standard Deviation | 1.32 |
Return Density
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Walmart historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Walmart Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Walmart is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Walmart backward and forwards among themselves. Walmart's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Walmart's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2023-09-30 | 13M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-09-30 | 11.8M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-09-30 | 10.7M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-09-30 | 9.4M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 9.1M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 9M | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-09-30 | 9M | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-09-30 | 8.8M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | 8.3M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | 137.2M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-09-30 | 99.8M |
Note, although Walmart's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.
Walmart Cash Flow Accounts
2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | ||
Capital Expenditure | (9.8B) | (10.4B) | (10.0B) | (12.7B) | (16.7B) | (18.0B) | |
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion | 10.7B | 11.0B | 11.2B | 10.7B | 10.9B | 11.6B | |
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents | 742M | 1.8B | 10.1B | (4.8B) | (6.0B) | (6.2B) | |
Net Cash Flow Business Acquisitions and Disposals | (13.8B) | 777M | (124M) | 7.6B | (740M) | (798.4M) | |
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares | (7.4B) | (5.7B) | (2.6B) | (9.8B) | (9.9B) | (10.7B) | |
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities | 12.0B | (1.1B) | (5.7B) | (8.2B) | 2.3B | 2.5B | |
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions | (6.1B) | (6.0B) | (6.1B) | (6.2B) | (6.1B) | (6.6B) | |
Net Cash Flow from Financing | (2.5B) | (14.3B) | (16.1B) | (22.8B) | (17.0B) | (18.4B) | |
Net Cash Flow from Investing | (24.0B) | (9.1B) | (10.1B) | (6.0B) | (17.7B) | (19.1B) | |
Net Cash Flow from Operations | 27.8B | 25.3B | 36.1B | 24.2B | 28.8B | 31.3B | |
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash | (438M) | (69M) | 235M | (140M) | (73M) | (78.8M) |
Walmart Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Walmart or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Walmart's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Walmart stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Walmart Volatility Alert
Walmart exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.5 and kurtosis of 20.58. However, we advise investors to further study Walmart technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Walmart's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Walmart's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
Walmart Implied Volatility
Walmart's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Walmart stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Walmart's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Walmart stock will not fluctuate a lot when Walmart's options are near their expiration.
Walmart Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Walmart's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Walmart's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Walmart and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Walmart or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Walmart's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Walmart by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Walmart to competition |
Fundamentals | Walmart | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.2 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0644 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27)% |
Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51)% |
Current Valuation | 471.41 B | 16.62B |
Shares Outstanding | 2.69 B | 571.82M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 47.24 % | 10.09% |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 34.73 % | 39.21% |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 10.45 M | 4.71M |
Price To Earning | 47.07 X | 28.72X |
Price To Book | 5.21 X | 9.51X |
Price To Sales | 0.65 X | 11.42X |
Revenue | 611.29 B | 9.43B |
Gross Profit | 147.57 B | 27.38B |
EBITDA | 30.09 B | 3.9B |
Net Income | 11.29 B | 570.98M |
Cash And Equivalents | 8.88 B | 2.7B |
Cash Per Share | 4.27 X | 5.01X |
Total Debt | 58.92 B | 5.32B |
Debt To Equity | 0.81 % | 48.70% |
Current Ratio | 0.87 X | 2.16X |
Book Value Per Share | 29.50 X | 1.93K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 29.1 B | 971.22M |
Short Ratio | 1.28 X | 4.00X |
Earnings Per Share | 6.01 X | 3.12X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.70 X | 4.89X |
Target Price | 179.87 | |
Number Of Employees | 2.1 M | 18.84K |
Beta | 0.49 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 413.82 B | 19.03B |
Total Asset | 243.46 B | 29.47B |
Retained Earnings | 83.14 B | 9.33B |
Working Capital | (16.54 B) | 1.48B |
About Walmart Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Walmart? Buying financial instruments such as Walmart Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Receivables | 6.5B | 8.3B | 7.9B | 6.8B | Inventories | 44.9B | 56.5B | 56.6B | 48.5B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Walmart in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.
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When determining whether Walmart is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Walmart Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Walmart Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Walmart Stock:
Check out Walmart Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Walmart Stock please use our How to Invest in Walmart guide.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Walmart Stock analysis
When running Walmart's price analysis, check to measure Walmart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Walmart is operating at the current time. Most of Walmart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Walmart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Walmart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Walmart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Walmart's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walmart. If investors know Walmart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walmart listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.553 | Dividend Share 2.27 | Earnings Share 6.01 | Revenue Per Share 237.114 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.052 |
The market value of Walmart is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walmart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walmart's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walmart's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walmart's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walmart's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walmart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walmart is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walmart's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
As an investment expert with a deep understanding of financial analysis and stock evaluation, I can provide a comprehensive breakdown of the concepts used in the provided article about Walmart's stock analysis.
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Macroaxis Recommendation and Algorithm:
- Macroaxis issues buy, sell, or hold recommendations for Walmart based on a 90-day investment horizon and the investor's risk tolerance.
- The recommendation is generated by an automated system using algorithms and statistical models that consider fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators.
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Key Drivers Affecting Walmart's Buy or Sell Advice:
- Real Value: The intrinsic value of Walmart is estimated at $168.72.
- Target Price: The target price for Walmart is set at $180.02.
- Hype Value: The current market value of Walmart is $154.8.
- Market Value: The market value of Walmart's stock is considered in the buy or sell advice.
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Risk and Performance Metrics:
- Risk-Adjusted Performance: Walmart's Risk Adjusted Performance is (0.04).
- Volatility: Walmart's stock exhibits very steady volatility.
- Current Valuation: Walmart is deemed undervalued.
- Odds of Distress: The likelihood of financial distress for Walmart is very low.
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Financial Ratios and Metrics:
- Price to Book (P/B): Walmart's P/B ratio is 5.21X.
- Debt to Equity (D/E) Ratio: Walmart has a D/E ratio of 0.81.
- Current Ratio: Walmart's current ratio is 0.85, suggesting potential challenges in meeting short-term financial commitments.
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Trade Recommendation and Market Performance:
- Walmart has generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days.
- The company has a significant amount of debt but is considered healthy based on the Financial Strenth (F Score).
- Walmart's institutional ownership is analyzed, with insights into major institutional investors and their holdings.
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Cash Flow Analysis:
- Net Cash Flow: Walmart's historical net cash flow and cash flow from operations are presented.
- Financing and Investing Activities: The cash flow from financing and investing activities, including debt issuance and share buybacks, is outlined.
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Return Distribution and Volatility:
- Walmart's historical returns distribution is analyzed, including mean return, value at risk, potential upside, and standard deviation.
- Investment risk management and the probability of extreme price changes are discussed.
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Implied Volatility and Fundamentals vs. Peers:
- Implied Volatility: Walmart's implied volatility is considered in relation to market sentiment.
- Fundamental Comparison: Walmart's key fundamentals are compared to the average values of its peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector.
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Risk Measures:
- Systematic and Unsystematic Risk: Walmart's exposure to systematic and unsystematic risks is discussed.
- Beta, standard deviation, alpha, and information ratio are used to measure Walmart's historical response to market movements.
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Industry Growth and Investment Decision:
- The article concludes with considerations for making an informed investment decision about Walmart, including qualitative aspects, peer comparison, and a multi-faceted approach to analysis.
This comprehensive analysis covers various aspects of Walmart's stock, providing investors with a detailed understanding of the company's financial health, risk profile, and potential for future growth.