Forex Today: PMI data could wake markets up ahead of key risk events (2024)

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, March 5:

Major currency pairs continue to fluctuate in familiar ranges early Tuesday following Monday's indecisive action. ISM Services PMI survey for February and Factory orders data for January will be featured in the US economic docket in the American session. S&P will also release final revisions to February PMI for the EU, Germany, the UK and the US.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will present the semi-annual Monetary Policy Report on Wednesday and Thursday, the European Central Bank will announce policy decisions on Thursday and the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the February jobs report on Friday.

The US Dollar (USD) struggled to gather strength against its rivals in the first half of the day on Monday. The bearish opening seen in Wall Street, however, helped the currency hold its ground and the USD Index (DXY) closed the day virtually unchanged. In the European morning on Tuesday, DXY trades marginally higher but stays below 104.00. In the meantime, US stock index futures are down between 0.3% and 0.5%, pointing to a cautious market mood, while the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays quiet at around 4.2%.

US Dollar price today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPCADAUDJPYNZDCHF
USD0.07%0.11%0.17%0.42%0.01%0.35%0.10%
EUR-0.07%0.04%0.10%0.33%-0.05%0.26%0.05%
GBP-0.10%-0.03%0.06%0.29%-0.10%0.24%0.01%
CAD-0.17%-0.10%-0.07%0.21%-0.15%0.16%-0.07%
AUD-0.42%-0.33%-0.29%-0.23%-0.39%-0.07%-0.28%
JPY-0.02%0.07%0.06%0.16%0.37%0.34%0.09%
NZD-0.36%-0.26%-0.25%-0.18%0.07%-0.35%-0.21%
CHF-0.11%-0.04%-0.01%0.06%0.30%-0.11%0.24%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/JPY (quote).

Despite the choppy action seen in foreign exchange markets, Gold gathered bullish momentum and extended its rally to a fresh 2024-high above $2,100 on Monday, rising more than 1.5% on a daily basis.XAU/USD consolidates its gains above $2,110 in the early European session.

Gold price flirts with multi-month peak, bulls await more cues on Fed rate-cut path.

EUR/USD closed marginally higher on Monday but retreated to the 1.0850 area early Tuesday. Eurostat will release Producer Price Index (PPI) data for January later in the session.

The data from Japan showed early Tuesday that Tokyo Consumer Price Index jumped to 2.6% on a yearly basis in February from 1.8% in January. Tokyo CPI ex Food and Energy edged lower to 3.1% from 3.3% in the same period. USD/JPY showed no immediate reaction to these reading and was last seen moving sideways at around 150.50.

Japanese Yen bulls shrug off stronger Tokyo CPI print, subdued USD price action.

While speaking at the National People's Congress (NPC) annual meeting on Tuesday, China’s Premier Li Qiang noted that the foundation of China's economic recovery is not solid yet. According to Reuters, China is expected to set a growth target of 5% for 2024. AUD/USD came under bearish pressure during the Asian trading hours and was last seen losing nearly 0.5% on the day at around 0.6480.

Australian Dollar moves below a psychological level amid a stable US Dollar.

GBP/USD closed the second consecutive trading day in positive territory on Monday but reversed its direction after encountering resistance at around 1.2700. The pair stays on the back foot early Tuesday and edged lower toward 1.2670.

Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Forex Today: PMI data could wake markets up ahead of key risk events (2024)

FAQs

How does PMI affect forex? ›

Usually, when the PMI in a particular country improves the currency of that country gets a boost. For example, if the PMI in the eurozone (or one of the major eurozone economies) improves the euro experiences upward pressure. Conversely, if the PMI declines the currency tends to weaken.

What is the full form of PMI in forex? ›

A purchasing managers' index (PMI) can be a valuable and accurate economic indicator. Learn more about what it is, how it's derived and how you can use it when trading. Commodities Forex ETF Inflation Price Economy.

Is PMI a lagging indicator? ›

The PMI is a key economic tool and is among the most reliable leading indicators of the U.S. economy. The index is reported by manufacturing and services. The index sheds insight into the business environment and also helps companies get a grasp on where the economy is headed.

Does PMI affect the market? ›

Market sentiment: Changes in PMI can influence market sentiment and expectations about the future state of the economy. Informed decision-making: Traders use PMI data to make informed decisions about potential investments, as it can signal shifts in economic trends.

What does PMI tell you? ›

The Purchasing Managers' Index™ (PMI™) is a survey-based indicator of business conditions, which includes individual measures ('sub-indices') of business output, new orders, employment, costs, selling prices, exports, purchasing activity, supplier performance, backlogs of orders and inventories of both inputs and ...

How often is PMI released? ›

The PMI is usually released on a monthly basis, offering up-to-date information about the economic activity in the manufacturing or services sector.

Is PMI a buy? ›

The overall consensus recommendation for Premier Miton is Buy. You can view the full broker recommendation list by unlocking its StockReport.

How to use PMI in forex? ›

By monitoring the PMI, forex traders can gain valuable insights into the overall economic performance of a country. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in the respective sector, while a reading below 50 suggests contraction.

Does PPI affect forex market? ›

3- Impact on the forex market:

PPI can have a direct impact on the currency market and is considered an important economic statistic. An increase in PPI may somehow indicate an increase in demand for the national currency. Analysis of PPI changes can help forex traders to predict changes in exchange rates.

How does real interest rate affect forex? ›

Higher interest rates tend to attract foreign investment, increasing the demand for and value of the home country's currency. Conversely, lower interest rates tend to be unattractive for foreign investment and decrease the currency's relative value.

What is the disadvantage of PMI? ›

The cons to PMI are that it remains with a mortgage until the principal balance falls to 80% below the value of the home. It may take years to reach this threshold and, until then, you'll continue to pay it.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Edwin Metz

Last Updated:

Views: 5751

Rating: 4.8 / 5 (58 voted)

Reviews: 89% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Edwin Metz

Birthday: 1997-04-16

Address: 51593 Leanne Light, Kuphalmouth, DE 50012-5183

Phone: +639107620957

Job: Corporate Banking Technician

Hobby: Reading, scrapbook, role-playing games, Fishing, Fishing, Scuba diving, Beekeeping

Introduction: My name is Edwin Metz, I am a fair, energetic, helpful, brave, outstanding, nice, helpful person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.