Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (2024)

Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (1) This article contains details specific to United States (US) investors. For non-US investors, acting on fund or ETF suggestions in it may have harmful US tax consequences.

Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (2) Non-US investors can find related information at Simple non-US portfolios and Canadian versions of lazy portfolios.

Lazy portfolios are designed to perform well in most market conditions. Most contain a small number of low-cost funds that are easy to rebalance. They are "lazy" in that you can maintain the same asset allocation for an extended period, as they generally contain 30-40% bonds, suitable for most pre-retirement investors.[note 1]

You can find historical performance for many of the "lazy portfolios" on our site's blog. See Portfolios - Financial Page.

Two-fund portfolio

You can invest in broad US and International markets, as well as bonds, using only two funds. Rick Ferri proposed a two-fund portfolio containing the total world stock market, and a diversified US bond market index fund as follows.[1] Expense ratios are shown in parentheses.

Rick Ferri's Two-Fund Portfolio[1]
%
Allocation
Asset ClassUsing Mutual FundsUsing ETFs
VanguardVanguardSPDR
60%Total World Stock MarketVTWAX (.10%)VT (.08%)SPGM (.09%)
40%Total Bond MarketVBTLX (.05%)BND (.035%)SPAB (.03%)

Three-fund lazy portfolios

A number of popular authors and columnists have suggested three-fund lazy portfolios. These usually consist of three equal parts of bonds (total bond market or TIPS), total US market and total international market. While the "% allocation" is different from those listed below, these funds typically make up the core of Vanguard's Target Retirement and Lifestrategy funds. Expense ratios are shown in parentheses.

Taylor Larimore's Three-Fund Portfolio[note 2]
%
Allocation
Asset ClassUsing Mutual FundsUsing ETFs
VanguardFidelitySchwab[note 3]VanguardiShares
Total US Stock MarketVTSAX (.04%)FSKAX (.015%)SWTSX (.03%)VTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)
Total International Stock MarketVTIAX (.11%)FTIHX (.06%)SWISX (.06%)VXUS (.08%)IXUS (.09%)
Total Bond MarketVBTLX (.05%)FXNAX (.025%)SWAGX (.04%)BND (.035%)AGG (.04%)

Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (3) Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (4)

Scott Burns' Margarita Portfolio / Andrew Tobias' Three-Fund Portfolio[2]
%
Allocation
Asset ClassUsing Mutual FundsUsing ETFs
VanguardFidelitySchwab[note 3]VanguardiShares
34%Total US Stock MarketVTSAX (.04%)FSKAX (.015%)SWTSX (.03%)VTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)
33%Total International Stock MarketVTIAX (.11%)FTIHX (.06%)SWISX (.06%)VXUS (.08%)IXUS (.09%)
33%Inflation-Protected SecuritiesVAIPX (.10%)FIPDX (.05%)SWRSX (.05%)---[note 4]TIP (.19%)

Rick Ferri's Lazy Three-Fund Portfolio[1][note 5]
%
Allocation
Asset ClassUsing Mutual FundsUsing ETFs
VanguardFidelitySchwab[note 3]VanguardiShares
40%Total US Stock MarketVTSAX (.04%)FSKAX (.015%)SWTSX (.03%)VTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)
20%Total International Stock MarketVTIAX (.11%)FTIHX (.06%)SWISX (.06%)VXUS (.08%)IXUS (.09%)
40%Total Bond MarketVBTLX (.05%)FXNAX (.025%)SWAGX (.04%)BND (.035%)AGG (.04%)

In addition, there are several close alternatives to these funds, especially when purchasing through Vanguard. For example, the "Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities Fund" also has a short term alternative, "Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index Fund" (tickers VTIPX or VTAPX) which can offer slightly less volatility in NAV.

Core four portfolios

As Rick Ferri proposed on the Bogleheads forum, the 'Core Four'[3] are four funds which form the "cornerstone" of a portfolio. Low-cost, total market fund examples are shown below (with expense ratios in parentheses).

Rick Ferri's Core Four Portfolio[1]
Asset ClassUsing Mutual FundsUsing ETFs
VanguardFidelitySchwab[note 3]VanguardiShares
Total US Stock MarketVTSAX (.04%)FSKAX (.015%)SWTSX (.03%)VTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)
Total International Stock MarketVTIAX (.11%)FTIHX (.06%)SWISX (.06%)VXUS (.08%)IXUS (.09%)
Total Bond MarketVBTLX (.05%)FXNAX (.025%)SWAGX (.04%)BND (.035%)AGG (.04%)
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT)VGSLX (.12%)FSRNX (.07%)---[note 6]VNQ (.12%)USRT (.08%)

Rick proposes that investors first determine their bond allocation. With the remaining funds, allocate 50% to US stock, 40% to international and 10% to REIT.[4] For example, for 60/40 and 80/20 portfolios, you would end up with the following[1]:

Core Four Portfolio, Asset Allocations
Desired Stock/Bond AllocationTotal US Stock Market Index FundTotal International Stock Index FundTotal Bond Market Index FundREIT Index Fund
60 / 4030%24%40%6%
80 / 2040%32%20%8%
Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (5) Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (6)

Rick stresses that the exact allocation percentages are not important; to the nearest 5% is fine.[3]

The Core Four is just a low cost foundation for your portfolio. You could add a slice of value stocks (US and/or International). You could split the bond portion between Treasury Inflation Protected Securities and nominal bonds, which would result in a slightly more conservative version of David Swensen's model portfolio (less international stock and less REIT, but otherwise the same four base funds plus TIPS.

More lazy portfolios

Beyond the simple three- and four-fund lazy portfolios are more complex portfolios. These are still "lazy" in that they contain enough bonds (typically 30-40%) to allow you to maintain the same asset allocation for much of your accumulation phase. The more complex funds add REITs, and 'slice and dice' the US and/or International stocks, adding large and small value to the mix. In some of the cases outlined below, a simpler portfolio can accomplish similar goals. For example, you can 'tilt' away from a total stock market fund by adding a small cap value fund.

Bill Schultheis's "Coffeehouse" portfolio

Bill Schultheis made this simple seven-fund portfolio popular in his book The Coffeehouse Investor. He advocates 40% in a total market bond fund and 10% each in various stock funds. You can find more information at The Coffeehouse Investor. The Coffeehouse Portfolio contains only 10% international stocks (17% of total equities). It slices up the domestic portion, but uses a total international fund.[note 7]

Asset Class%
Allocation
Using ETFs
VanguardiShares
Large Blend10%VOO (.03%)IVV (.03%)
Large Value10%VTV (.04%)IUSV (.04%)
Small Blend10%VB (.05%)ISCB (.04%)
Small Value10%VBR (.07%)ISCV (.06%)
Total International10%VXUS (.08%)IXUS (.09%)
REIT10%VNQ (.12%)USRT (.08%)
Total Bond40%BND (.035%)AGG (.04%)
Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (7)

William Bernstein's "Coward's" portfolio

William Bernstein is the author of several books including The Intelligent Asset Allocator and The Four Pillars of Investing. He introduced the Coward's Portfolio in 1996. The "coward" refers not to risk tolerance but to the strategy of hedging your bets and having slices of a number of asset classes. This portfolio is similar to the Coffeehouse Portfolio, except that it uses short term bonds, and divides the international portion into equal slices of Europe, Pacific and Emerging markets.

Asset Class%
Allocation
Using ETFs
VanguardiShares
Total Stock Mkt15%VTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)
Large Value10%VTV (.04%)IUSV (.04%)
Small Blend5%VB (.05%)ISCB (.04%)
Small Value10%VBR (.07%)ICSV (.06%)
Europe5%VGK (.08%)IEUR (.09%)
Pacific5%VPL (.08%)IPAC (.09%)
Emerging Markets5%VWO (.10%)IEMG (.11%)
REIT5%VNQ (.12%)USRT (.08%)
Short Term Bond40%BSV (.05%)ISTB (.06%)
Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (8)

Frank Armstrong's "Ideal Index" portfolio

Frank Armstrong, author of The Informed Investor, proposed this portfolio in an MSN Money article[dead link]. It contains a smaller allocation to bonds, and a much larger allocation to international stocks (in fact the equities, excluding REIT, are split 50/50 between domestic and international). Like Bernstein he advocates short term bonds. If the domestic slices were replaced by a total market fund, this portfolio would be very close to the three-fund portfolios, with a slice of REIT added.

Asset Class%
Allocation
Using ETFs
VanguardiShares
Large Blend7%VOO (.03%)IVV (.03%)
Large Value9%VTV (.04%)IUSV (.04%)
Small Blend6%VB (.05%)ISCB (.04%)
Small Value9%VBR (.07%)ICSV (.06%)
Total International31%VXUS (.08%)IXUS (.09%)
REIT8%VNQ (.12%)USRT (.08%)
Short Term Bond30%BSV (.05%)ISTB (.06%)
Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (9)

David Swensen's lazy portfolio

David Swensen is CIO of Yale University and author of Unconventional Success. His lazy portfolio uses low-cost, tax-efficient total market funds, a healthy dose of real estate, and inflation-protected securities (TIPS).[5][note 8]

Asset Class%
Allocation
Using ETFs
VanguardiSharesSPDR
Total Stock Market30%VTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)SPTM (.03%)
Intl Developed Market15%VEA (.05%)IDEV (.05%)SPDW (.04%)
Emerging Markets10%VWO (.10%)IEMG (.11%)SPEM (.11%)
Real Estate15%VNQ (.12%)USRT (.08%)XLRE (.12%)
US Treasury Bonds15%VGIT (.05%)GOVT (.05%)SPTI (.06%)
TIPS15%---[note 4]TIP (.19%)SPIP (.12%)
Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (10)

Permanent Portfolio

Free-market investment analyst Harry Browne devised the Permanent Portfolio in the 1980s, as a buy-and-hold portfolio that contains a healthy allocation to gold. The portfolio holds equal allocations of domestic stocks, gold, short-term treasury bonds, and long term treasury bonds.[6][note 9]

Forum members Craig Rowland and J. M. Lawson have written a book, The Permanent Portfolio: Harry Browne's Long-Term Investment Strategy, detailing every aspect of the Permanent Portfolio.

You can build this portfolio with an investment in a low cost US total stock market index fund, along with direct investments in gold bullion coins, US treasury bills, and US treasury bonds. Or alternatively, with low-cost exchange-traded funds. See Blackrock iShares for an ETF version of the portfolio.

US Permanent Portfolio
%
Allocation
Asset ClassUsing ETFs
VanguardiShares
25%US Total Stock MarketVTI (.03%)ITOT (.03%)
25%Gold Bullion---[note 4]IAU (.25%)
25%US Treasury BillsVGSH (.05%)SHY (.15%)
25%US Long-Term TreasuryVGLT (.05%)TLT (.15%)
Lazy portfolios - Bogleheads (11)

Notes

  1. Paul B. Farrell, who writes MarketWatch columns about various simple portfolios, popularized the term 'Lazy portfolios'.
  2. Taylor Larimore was an early advocate of this approach, which he described in 1999 in a Morningstar posting, Which is better, 15 funds or 4?. The fourth fund is a money market fund used for cash management. You should tailor the portfolio's allocation percentages to your time-frame, risk tolerance and personal financial situation. Discussed in Bogleheads forum topic: "The Three-Fund Portfolio", Taylor Larimore. January 1, 2012.
  3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 Schwab's International Index Fund (SWISX) tracks the MSCI EAFE index. This index does not include emerging market stocks, Canadian stocks, and international small-cap stocks.
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 Vanguard does not offer a similar ETF.
  5. Rick said: "The mix between U.S. stocks and international stocks can be changed to suit your preference for dollar exposure. Another option is to swap the total bond market index fund for an investment-grade corporate bond index fund that provides higher yield or a Treasury Inflation Protected (TIPs) fund the provides inflation protection."
  6. Schwab offers an REIT index ETF: SCHH (.07%).
  7. Discussed in Bogleheads forum topic: "Three Index Funds vs "The Coffeehouse Portfolio"?", Shaoya. September 20, 2009.
  8. Discussed in Bogleheads forum topic: "David Swensen's lazy portfolio", amrogers3. April 10, 2012.
  9. Discussed in Bogleheads forum topic: "Updated Modification of Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio", allenmickers. Mar 26, 2008 and Bogleheads forum topic: "Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio Discussion (Cont'd)", MediumTex. Oct 23, 2010.

See also

References

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 "Three simple index fund portfolios". Forbes. May 23, 2013.
  2. "Margarita portfolio". Couch Potato Investing. July 29, 2018. Archived from the original on September 20, 2020.
  3. 3.0 3.1 Bogleheads forum topic: "The Core Four". December 30, 2007
  4. Bogleheads forum post: "Rick Ferri looking to internationalize his portfolio", Rick Ferri. June 11, 2015
  5. Asset allocations are from: 3 Investment Gurus Share Their Model Portfolios, Chris Arnold, NPR.org, October 17, 2015. Viewed October 30, 2015.
  6. Permanent Portfolio - Early Retirement Extreme Wiki

External links

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FAQs

Are lazy portfolios good? ›

Lazy portfolios focus on low-cost index funds or ETFs, which have lower expense ratios compared to actively managed funds. This can significantly enhance returns over the long term due to the compounding effect of lower fees.

What is the 3 portfolio rule? ›

A 3 fund portfolio is an asset allocation mix comprising three asset classes, domestic stocks, international stocks, and domestic bonds. Standard & Poor's 500 is a market index that tracks the market value and performance of the top 500 US large-cap stocks.

What is the 70 30 portfolio strategy? ›

The 70/30 portfolio targets a 70% long term allocation to equities and 30% in all other asset classes – the actual portfolio allocation at any point in time will fluctuate to reflect prevailing investment opportunities.

Are 60 40 balanced portfolios dead? ›

After a disastrous 2022, it turned out not to be dead after all. The dual bear market for both stocks and bonds in 2022 created the perfect storm for the 60/40 portfolio, which had been a popular asset-allocation strategy for the past couple of decades.

What is Dave Ramsey portfolio? ›

Ramsey's recommendation is to invest 100% of your portfolio in stocks, with no allocation to bonds or other fixed-income investments. He believes that over the long term, stocks will outperform other asset classes, and that a well-diversified stock portfolio is the best way to build wealth.

What is the maximum drawdown of a lazy portfolio? ›

Each Lazy Portfolio had a maximum drawdown exceeding -35% over the past ten years. Some of the worst Lazy Portfolios exceeded -40% in the same time frame.

Are 60 40 portfolios facing worst returns in 100 years? ›

LONDON, Oct 14 (Reuters) - Investors with classic "60/40" portfolios are facing the worst returns this year for a century, BofA Global Research said in a note on Friday, noting that bond markets continue to see huge outflows.

What is the 5% portfolio rule? ›

While the rule states that no more than 5% of your portfolio should be invested in a single stock, you can adjust this based on your own risk tolerance. For example, if you're more risk-averse, you may want to limit your exposure to individual stocks even further.

What is the Warren Buffett 70/30 rule? ›

A 70/30 portfolio is an investment portfolio where 70% of investment capital is allocated to stocks and 30% to fixed-income securities, primarily bonds.

What should a 65 year old portfolio balance be? ›

At age 60–69, consider a moderate portfolio (60% stock, 35% bonds, 5% cash/cash investments); 70–79, moderately conservative (40% stock, 50% bonds, 10% cash/cash investments); 80 and above, conservative (20% stock, 50% bonds, 30% cash/cash investments).

At what age should you have a 60 40 portfolio? ›

As you reach your 50s, consider allocating 60% of your portfolio to stocks and 40% to bonds. Adjust those numbers according to your risk tolerance. If risk makes you nervous, decrease the stock percentage and increase the bond percentage.

Is a 60 40 portfolio aggressive? ›

“But that's not to say that 60/40 is any better than a 40/60 or 90/10 portfolio for investors who need a more conservative or more aggressive portfolio for their goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance. In other words, 60/40 is not the best choice for the average twenty-something with a 60- or 70-year time horizon.

Are robo portfolios a good idea? ›

While a robo-advisor can be efficient in managing your investing decisions, a human advisor may be best for more complex decisions like helping you choose the right student loan repayment plan or comparing compensation packages for a new job. Cost: If cost is a factor, robo-advisors typically win out here.

What is the lazy portfolio Sharpe ratio? ›

The current David Swensen Lazy Portfolio Sharpe ratio is 1.35.

What is an example of a lazy portfolio? ›

A 60/40 portfolio is another option for lazy investing. With a 60/40 portfolio, 60% of your portfolio is held in stocks and the other 40% consists of bonds. You can invest in individual stocks or bonds or buy mutual funds, index funds or ETFs. A 60/40 portfolio can be easy to maintain through regular rebalancing.

Is 80 20 portfolio a good investment? ›

If you're a younger investor with a long time horizon and are comfortable taking on more risk, the 80/20 portfolio may be a good fit. However, if you're closer to retirement or prefer a more conservative approach, the 60/40 portfolio may be a better option.

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