Predicting Job Performance: Do Personality Tests Work? (2024)

Personality tests alone have an incredibly low rate of success in predicting job fit

Even a decade ago, researchers and editors of top psychological journals reporting the results of thepredictive power of tests* for hiring discovered something that should have opened eyes and definitively eliminated the use of personality testing for hiring by staffing professionals.

Statistics found that companies using personality tests alone have an incredibly low rate of success in predicting job fit, or either excellence or failure in actual job performance: .22r or less than 6%. The panel of prominent personnel psychologists reported one clear theme: the validities of personality measures are so low that to use them for employee selection should be questioned. One author summed it up stating:

“Why are we looking at personality as a valid predictor of job performancewhen the validities are still close to zero?”

Indeed,Peter Capelli, a leading authority on managing workplace talent and Professor of Management, Wharton School, reviewed the history of using personality-based tests for hiring and promotion decisions as far back the 1960s-1980s. To his surprise, he found that personality-based assessments largely disappeared from the lists of best practicesin human resources. However, there was a resurgence of interest in, and use of, personality testing in the 1990s that continues today.

If personality tests don’t work, why are we still using them?

Enthusiasm for the use of personality testing has stemmed from the cost and risks of a bad hire. Zappos CEO Tony Hsieh once estimated bad hires had cost his company over $100M. According to a recent Forbes article, the average cost of onboarding a new employee can be as high as $240,000, while the US Department of labour suggests the price of a bad hire is 30% of first-year earnings.

When unfilled or poorly filled jobs cost millions. HR is forced to turn to even blunt tools for help. Moreover, to their credit, personality tests may provide useful and interesting information about a person. However, psychological research is clear: personality measures do little to predict how well a candidate will perform on the job.

They are too broad to predict on-the-job performance, as they often don’t yield comparable results over time.

If there is a 95% chance that personality tests will not help you predict the right recruits, your future leaders or your current staffing disconnects for where you are taking your business, what will?

Please read part two to this series — Behavioural Assessments Work!.

In the meantime, we’d love to hear from you on your successes and lessons learned in workforce assessments.

About the Founder:

At the age of 9, Larry Cash’s life was almost destroyed by a test that concluded he was mentally challenged. In fact, Larry was dyslexic. A member of the Ontario Psychological Association and an International Affiliate of the American Psychological Association, he’s dedicated his life to understanding the intricacies of human behaviour, working to develop training and testing that accurately looks at unique individuality and potential. Larry is the founder and developer ofSuccessFinder, a talent assessment and career prediction platform that benchmarks behaviours from more than 40,000 highly successful professionals worldwide, across more than 500 roles.

Predicting Job Performance: Do Personality Tests Work? (2024)

FAQs

Predicting Job Performance: Do Personality Tests Work? ›

Moreover, to their credit, personality tests may provide useful and interesting information about a person. However, psychological research is clear: personality measures do little to predict how well a candidate will perform on the job.

Are personality tests a good predictor of job performance? ›

In conclusion, personality tests are great at predicting job fit and are most effective when combined with other measures with higher predictive validity, such as integrity or cognitive ability.

Does personality predict success on a job? ›

Smarter people were considered more likely to succeed on the job. But intelligence is only part of the story. Other important factors in job performance—creativity, leadership, integrity, attendance, and cooperation—are related to personality, not intelligence.

How accurate are personality tests for employment? ›

Although personality tests are not absolutely accurate, they are great tools to improve hiring decisions and ensure that the right people are hired into the right roles. The insights they provide can help better understand yourself and others- leading to a more efficient and productive work environment.

What are three arguments against the use of personality tests as predictors of job performance? ›

1] The personality test has limited ability to predict as they cannot predict the on-job performance of an individual. 2] These test lack consistency as if the person lies then the assessment will not be accurate and the test will not generate the true results. 3] These tests do not have test-retest reliability.

What is the strongest predictor of job performance? ›

If this is you, consider re-evaluating your process and adopt a strategy to screen candidates based on data-driven solutions. Cognitive ability is consistently the best predictor of job performance across all job types, levels and industries.

What is the best test to predict job performance? ›

Cognitive ability tests are designed to evaluate the respondent's mental aptitude. Otherwise known as intelligence testing, cognitive ability tests find out how well an individual can plan, reason, and problem solve. The cognitive ability of any employee has a significant impact on their performance on the job.

What are the downsides of personality tests? ›

Drawbacks of Personality Tests

There are many disadvantages, though, in the workplace. It may screen out qualified candidates. For many jobs, there isn't a mainstream personality that fits the job type. Such tests may also exclude talented candidates who think outside the box.

What are two concerns with personality tests? ›

Personality assessments over-emphasize some aspects of people's personality and under-emphasize, misplace, or omit other aspects. Personality assessments don't provide an accurate depiction of part of a person's personality, they provide a distorted, misleading version of the whole picture.

What personality test do most employers use? ›

While “best” is in the eye of the beholder, these workplace personality tests are among the most commonly used in the modern business environment.
  • Enneagram.
  • Myers-Briggs Type Indicator (MBTI)
  • DiSC.
  • CliftonStrengths Assessment.
  • The Big Five Personality Traits.
  • Hogan Personality Inventory.
  • Keirsey Temperament Sorter.
Aug 10, 2023

Which Big 5 personality trait is the best predictor of job performance? ›

Conscientiousness is the only Big-Five trait that predicts performance across all job-types and job-levels. Different combinations of personality traits are needed for jobs that have unique demands (such as customer service and managerial work)

What is the biggest problem with personality tests? ›

Although interesting and perhaps even entertaining, these "type-based" tests are unscientific, do not validly nor reliably measure "personality," and could plausibly lead people to become inflexible learners with a fixed mindset.

Why is the Big Five personality test not reliable? ›

There's more to personality than the Big Five: Some experts argue that the FFM oversimplifies personality. In other words, they claim that there are additional aspects of personality that are not captured by the Big Five. For example, some researchers have argued for humility as a sixth trait.

Is personality a predictor of job performance? ›

For jobs with a stronger interpersonal component (such as sales, customer service, and managerial), extraversion, agreeableness, and openness become more desirable for predicting performance.

Can a personality test determine if you re a good fit for a job? ›

What do personality tests measure? The answers you provide in a personality test provide insights that help the employer know if you are the right person for the job.

Are personality tests good overall predictors of job performance True or false? ›

In Europe and the US, measures of personality are used frequently in personnel assessment and selection, but personality appears to be a predictor with a null or very small validity for predicting job performance.

Is there a correlation between personality and job performance? ›

Although higher Conscientiousness and lower Neuroticism were associated with higher job performance across most types of jobs, the relationship between Extraversion, Openness, and Agreeableness with job performance was found to be more context-dependent (Barrick et al., 2001).

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